Where do you think this is all headed?

Discussion in 'Legal Issues with Ecigarette Use' started by Deblym, Feb 28, 2012.

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  1. Deblym

    Deblym Senior Member ECF Veteran

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    With all the conflicting political interests and money to be made, or lost, depending on which camp your in....what's your best guess as to what the world will look like from the e-cig users perspective in say.... 10 years.

    Limited availability with prescription only? No DIY supplies and pre filled carts only? Tobacco companies taking over the industry? Across the board ban?

    What's your best guess?
     
  2. Deblym

    Deblym Senior Member ECF Veteran

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    And now that I've posted this....I'm thinking it might belong in general e-cig discussion lol sorry....still a noob.
     
  3. TennDave

    TennDave Vaping Master Verified Member ECF Veteran

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    Okay, I'll bite. (and not all is good new- bare with me):
    1. E-cigs will at first get banned like most combustible tobacco in public places
    2. They will be taxed like combustible tobacco in most places.
    3. Some will go back to smoking- but health conscious and those who are "sold" on the vaping idea will continue
    4. As many less expensive (but not such good quality products are out there), still e-cigs will catch on...and keep catching on
    5. Finally, there will be a public understanding that these are not as harmful as lighting up cigarettes
    6. E-cigs will be accepted in the real world as a THR product but they will remain expensive and have many absurd controls...
    7. Many will be fed up who are able to quit vaping and just quit everything....smoking too (and e-cigs helped them get there).
    8. Those who need nicotine for one reason or another will keep vaping- some will go back to smoking and die an early death.

    Today is the Hay Day....Vape On while you can!!
     
  4. dlsw

    dlsw Ultra Member Verified Member ECF Veteran

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    I agree with TennDave. I think we probably have the best time for vaping in the US that there will be. Right now we have lots of new devices, small businesses with innovative ideas, no extra taxes, etc. It is too irresistable for state and federal government agencies to let us be.
     
  5. pantera

    pantera Senior Member ECF Veteran

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    Just like everything else that catches on, once we have enough ppl involved the government will want a bigger cut (see gas, cigs, booze and housing) so I would say depending on how much momentum ecigs have in north America, it is only a matter of time before they get their hands in there
     
  6. Deblym

    Deblym Senior Member ECF Veteran

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    I agree, I don't think they will be outright banned forever, I do think the price will go up once the powers that be are able to get their cuts, I also think other restrictions will be in place, exactly what though, who knows. I do know e-cigs aren't going to disappear. :)
     
  7. TennDave

    TennDave Vaping Master Verified Member ECF Veteran

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    I think that one of the restrictions are going to be the flavors- All the powers that be are still convinced that they need to "save the children" from the wicked and evil nicotine.

    One thing I forgot to mention- there will always be the "underground" vapers... I plan to be one of them :lol: We will still have our flavors although we might not be able to buy nic juice that is already flavored. Unfortunately, this is the hay day for mom and pop shops too that are selling juice- they need to enjoy this while they can- I think their days are numbered, unfortunately.
     
  8. Eddie.Willers

    Eddie.Willers ECF Wiki SysOp Verified Member ECF Veteran

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    +1 to TennDave

    Vaping seems to be in a 'Golden Age' right now - minimal controls, market-driven products, boutique suppliers.

    Enjoy it while you can - the heavy hand of gubbmint is about to swipe!
     
  9. colkaz5

    colkaz5 Full Member

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    for my two pence worth..... i agree it seems inevitable that laws will be introduced in favour of the government or big companies, but one ray of hope could be that vaping seems to have spread on a global scale very quickly and although uncle Sam seems to be getting hot under the collar about this, i have heard none of the same arguments in the UK.

    if past history is anything to go by, the
    uk will follow suit but probably take a generation to actually get off their backsides and do anything about it!!!!

    so i think you'll still be able to get all you need internationally for a long time.

    (although US prices do seem ridiculously low compared to over here, so you will probably take a hit to the pocket either way)
     
  10. Poppie

    Poppie Super Member ECF Veteran

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    I may be beating a dead horse here, but I have to agree with the posts ahead of this one.
    Government and big tobacco will want to get in on the action, and that will ruin everything. The flavors will be gone because SOMEONE has to think about the children! :blink:

    It will become very expensive to vape in the future.
     
  11. Janet H

    Janet H Ultra Member Verified Member ECF Veteran

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    I have to say I agree with the previous posts. The favorite place to hike taxes is on cigarettes and with so many people quitting or going to vaping we've got to be the next target. You'd think they'd be encouraging us given how much our leaders care about the American people! Gubmint will always find a way to profit from what you're mak'n. Figure out how to make something people really like and want and they'll tax it to death. Enjoy 'em while you can still get 'em, but I'll never go back to analogs. We'll be the ones looking back and saying remember when?
     
  12. monkeybusiness

    monkeybusiness Full Member

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    Do not for one moment ever think your government is on your side. Vested interests are everywhere.

    People in the west believe, or at least we used to believe that our governments were above the corruption of the third world or the communist bloc, but the truth is they were just better at hiding it.

    Your health doesn't matter. Tax revenue matters. Big business matters. Tobacco companies will be finished once the word really gets out about E-cigs. So they will kick and scream and stamp their feet to prevent that from happening.

    That being said; some E-cig vendors and manufacturers haven't exactly covered themselves in glory in my limited experience. I'm absolutely certain I've used a much raved about E-cig that was very unhealthy when it failed (after one week), causing a metallic tasting smog that burnt my eyes and throat.

    There's also stories of liquids tainted with diacetyl still. It's an industry in dire need of regulation. Just not punitive taxation.
     
  13. Luisa

    Luisa Super Member ECF Veteran

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    Our problem is not the tobacco companies,but big Pharma and the "Health organizations" that do Pharmas" bidding.
     
  14. johnnytwofingers

    johnnytwofingers Senior Member Verified Member ECF Veteran

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    More like, they'll pick up the phone, hit the speed dial to their favorite politician, schedule a lunch, and write a cheque to have some legislation written.

    You're absolutely right about corruption in western governments and "health care" being a red herring.
     
  15. Stubby

    Stubby Ultra Member ECF Veteran

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    I wouldn't be so sure about anything in the EU

    http://velvetgloveironfist.blogspot.com/2012/09/tobacco-product-directive-leaked-to.html


    If this passes as the new tobacco directive in the EU the only form of tobacco/nicotine sold will be combustable tobacco (cigarettes/cigars/pipes), and NRT products. We shall see just how corrupt the EU has become.

    If the FDA puts the clamps down on e-cigs by giving them a deeming regulation its bye-bye e-cigs. Nothing would be left but the most primitive e-cigs (those on the market before February 15, 2007). The FDA has a lot of leeway as to what they can do, but the tobacco board is made up of nothing but abstinence only zealots. I wouldn't get my hopes up for a positive ruling. This is the same FDA that came out with there bogus study on e-cigs in 2009, and still has it up on their web site.

    No one can say how this is going to turn out in 10 years but there are a lot of clues as to where the critical government groups are leaning.
     
  16. ThunderOne

    ThunderOne Full Member

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    Don't you just love Capitalist America, comrades? Don't you just love corrupt government regulation?
     
  17. Moueix

    Moueix Moved On Verified Member

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    I'm of a different mind. So much legislation is written on behalf of insurance companies. Helmet laws, seatbelt laws, crash safety standards, you name it. They are one of the most powerful lobbies. They hire actuarials who crunch the risk numbers, and they are going to see that E-Cigs are going to SAVE them money. They will strike a deal with govt. whereby both arms benefit in 3 ways. Healthcare costs and insurance claims will go DOWN. Insurance co. profit will thereby go up. Govt will want a piece, and they only thing they can get their hands on is nic concentrate. Everything else about this is in the public domain, and can be easily made for "other purposes" (flashlights, etc.) Expect taxation at the nic level. BP and BT will want a cut, so nics will come from them, heavily taxed. Then the greed factor powers will get what they want, and give us what we will have whether they like it or not.

    Your defense will be to lay up stock of nic concentrate before taxation, and buy your juices as "flavorings" without nic, and add your own concentrate. This will be the "grandfather" clause. Once those pre-tax stocks of concentrate are gone, they will have the control they seek and need. They you will see the insurance companies, govt, and BP PROMOTE the use.
     
  18. Jman8

    Jman8 Vaping Master ECF Veteran

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    Given my review of some of the threads in this legal section of the forum, I think it is likely that eCigs are headed in direction of being regulated as a tobacco product regardless of what some vapers think. And apparently some vapers are convinced it is a tobacco product (legally speaking).

    My point remains that we are doing this to ourselves / have already done it to ourselves (via smoked tobacco).

    Here are things that I think most everyone agrees with (includes vapers, smokers, ex-smokers and non-smokers):

    1 - Nicotine is a drug
    2 - Nicotine is an addictive drug
    3 - Nicotine in the form of smoking tobacco creates second hand smoke that is potentially harmful to all persons within vicinity of that smoke
    4 - Kids ought not to be exposed to the dangers inherent in 1 thru 3.

    There's not really fine points of discussion in #1 and #2, and I don't think many would try to approach any fine points with those. #3 is, I believe, at the heart of the issue and is summed up with the words "potentially harmful." There are enough fine points here, especially as it relates to vaping, to fill an entire e-cig forum. From the non-smoking persons in society, all the fine points and seeming justifications for allowing vaping in society is simply likely to fall on deaf ears. Education helps, but could also open door (likely already has) to the 'potential harm' to others with eCig usage. I reckon that vapers, like myself, will exercise own versions of 'plausible deniability' when it comes to matters of potential harm. And in some instances, especially when it comes to 'secondhand smoke' (or secondhand vapor) we will carry the torch for those who seek to rid society of this evil and its perceived harm, deemed actual and serious.

    #4 is what we are up against politically and is where I think we will lose, because of our mixed opinions with regards to #3. Therefore self regulation is a wonderful concept, but is impractical and not something for vapers / nic users to be deemed a reasonable authority on. As this is 'our country' and majority of us are non-nicotine users, their voice, however unreasonable / uneducated it may appear to us users, will win. If they align with us, we rejoice. If they do not align with us, we feel violated that our fundamental freedoms are being taken away.

    My best guess: majority of vapers, like smokers, will (eventually) go along with heavy regulation and accept policies that ban vaping from all public places and places that are essentially shared residences (apartment units, condos, etc.). The tobacco loving vapers will have little to no issue with flavored liquids being restricted / banned. The market for vaping products will continue for awhile, perhaps indefinitely. It may be underground, or it may be a protected market (more likely). It will not be an open market for much longer. Ex-vapers will start to become part of the social fabric. Some will be all in favor of vaping as healthier alternative to smoking, and along those lines some will be in favor of the right to vape. Other ex-vapers will downplay the right of vapers and essentially view those still vaping as caught up in cycle of addiction and displaying no concern for their habit and how it may (or may not) impact society as a whole. They will show up as anti-vaping nazis to current vapers.

    The battle will continue to show up as one between rights of vapers and some in society who are agents empowered to protect our children. This will be the superficial battle, and the one that will be most visible.
    The actual battle is the one that confronts each individuals own attitudes around 'perceived harm.' And if smoking issues are of any historical guide, then this battle will lead to vapers / ex-vapers carrying the torch for non-nicotine addicts who feel strongly there is some harm to this and it is best not to have these devices and products around at all. An outright ban will never work, but a self imposed ban, especially among vapers (somewhat already occurring) will contribute to the de facto ban that is on the horizon.

    I no longer have the optimism I had just yesterday (though might gain it back) mainly because I think vapers (and ex-smokers) are prone to self imposed bans, for the good of society and to avoid possible situations where vaping might be given a black eye. Add in local, state and nationally imposed bans, plus a few scientific reports showing potentially serious harmful effects from long term use of nicotine, and the number of vapers will likely dwindle from where it is now in the open market days of vaping.

    Could say a whole bunch more, but this is the short version of what I think is likely to occur.
     
  19. Joshyjoshf

    Joshyjoshf Full Member Verified Member

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    I'm very worried that all my nice flavors will no longer be easy to access. And as someone who is starting to dabble in crafting e-liquid, I'm afraid that I won't be able to make money on it for very long at all. I hope the FDA doesn't go too damn hard on us guys though, and hopefully there will be a way to continue on with our current style of vaping, even if it ends up being more expensive.
     
  20. budynbuick

    budynbuick Super Member Verified Member ECF Veteran

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    Hello, fellow Michigander. Very well thought out. Money, money,money.
    Keith
     
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