Any news on number of e-cig sales?

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Warren D. Lockaby

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I expect the information you seek doesn't actually exist, but it'd be great if you can prove me wrong. My thinking though is, anyone who would venture a figure or even a fairly broad range of figures on this would almost certainly have some ulterior motive, some reason for wanting some people to take their figure(s) seriously. The existence of that motive, whatever it might be, would tend to cast suspicion upon the integrity of the data provided.

Anyway for a "best guess" I'd check to see if the federal government has one, and then see if anyone else does. If anyone else does, I'd use theirs, unless it's a different government... then I'd keep looking.

Best of luck in your quest, & Happy vaping! :toast:
 

sailorman

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Somewhere, in the last couple days, either here or in the TPSAC transcripts, I saw the figure of 2.7 million people who have tried e-cigarettes in the U.S. in the last 3 years. I don't know where the figure came from or how accurate it was or anything. So, it's quite useless actually, but it's the closest thing I've ever seen to an estimate of users, but not how many e-cigs have been sold. Since 99% of them are made in China, It's doubtful that such a figure even exists.

I'd suggest contacting CASAA. If anyone knows if such a statistic exists, they would.
 

Ladypixel

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The hardest thing about getting numbers like that is that ecigs don't all come from one place. It's possible in theory to come up with a very vague, likely inaccurate number of PVs imported into the US (although not all of those come from any single vendor, either, so it's hard to pin down a number). Mods... well, that depends on whether you can reach all the mod-makers and ask how many they've made and sold, and how many they've given away, etc. I don't think there actually IS such a number. :p

That said, I agree with Sailorman -- if anyone would have even a very rough idea of how many commercially-made (non-mod) PVs were sold in the US in the space of a year, CASAA would.
 

rolygate

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If you go to:

UK Situation

...you will find the best set of e-cig stats in one place. However they are now out of date. It was possible to make a fairly accurate guess at certain figures in early 2011 because there were several sources of data that all agreed with each other, but any estimate now is just a guess. You could get in the ballpark by figuring between 25% to 50% growth per year, and adding it to those figures.

As for the number of ecigs sold, it is an uncountable number of millions. In early 2011 the US market was worth about $100m. No one knows how many e-cigs are sold per $1m although if you had to, you could work it out by asking a selection of vendors what proportion of their turnover can be attributed to e-cig units, e-liquid, etc, averaging it out, and figuring it out that way.

So if you want to do some research, ask half a dozen vendors what proportion of their turnover is for e-cigarette units as against other products. Also ask them the average cost of one e-cigarette unit.
- If for example the average answer is 40%, then assume 40% of all sales are e-cigarette units (which will be wrong, but anyway...).
- So 40% of every $1m is for e-cig units = $0.4m.
- Multiply by annual turnover for US
- In Q1 2011 that was c. $100m (this needs checking on the ECCA page).
- So in early 2011 we might think that $40m per year was being spent specifically on e-cigarette units in the US.
- Now we divide that by the average cost of an e-cigarette.

Then you have an approximate number sold per year. There are any number of reasons why this could be a mile out but it's a start.

If you show your sources, your calculations, and how errors can creep in, perhaps in an appendix, that sort of thing can add points in coursework.
 
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