Actually, I do think it's likely there will be some deaths as a result of
vaping. In fact, there have been some already (battery fires and eliquid ingestion, leading to death). However, the issue here is comparative harm. In the long run, there will be fewer deaths as a result of vaping than there would have been if people who switched to vaping from smoking didn't have that alternative available. So, as a public policy issue, vaping should be supported rather than suppressed.
We agree on vaping should not be suppressed, but apparently disagree on the reason why. I do think this impacts our fight going forward. I would not go to a vape rally or be on board with a CTA that sought to make points about vaping by disparaging smoking/smokers. Instead, I'd enter into a friendly discussion with those vapers.
I do not think there will be deaths as a result of vaping that are solely attributable to vaping. I think there will be those among us (aka ANTZ) that will say it is mostly to solely because of vaping. I think there will be ex-vapers who will join the ANTZ crowd and who will carry that torch.
The deaths you have cited as related are not really from vaping. Would be like me saying "water kills" with implication that if you drink water, you will die. Someone disputes this, and then I bring up a case of people that drowned in water and say I told you water kills. Here is a verifiable report about it, and you doubted me. How wrong you were.
If vaper stops vaping and picks up smoking, that will be by their choice. This is where we have what appears like profound disagreement. If vaping was banned and I started drinking bleach by the gallon and died, could I say that the vaping ban caused me to drink bleach? I bring up the ridiculous, because I see it as ridiculous to say the only option is to go back to smoking. Saying this is actually giving fuel to the idea that vaping is a gateway to smoking. If vaper who used to smoke but stops smoking because of vaping (in their mind) and swears they will never have a cigarette again, I would say in that moment that they are less likely to smoke than a never-smoking minor. But if that same vaper goes back to smoking because they can't vape, then how would anyone be able to argue that never-smokers wouldn't first go to vaping and possibly be interested in smoking, especially if they are somehow denied ability or access to vaping (as a minor might be)? Perhaps not my best counter point as I actually see you agreeing with that, saying the ban is what caused the person to smoke. I would just note that there are many choices available to people in general if a) they are one that enjoys vaping nicotine and b) they are denied access to vaping. To put forth that smoking is the only choice seems impossible to defend. To say one is forced to smoke strikes me as immature comment. Like a child might say if you don't let me watch TV today, I'll be forced to sneak out of the house and watch TV at that guy's house that you say is a bad person. I would think caring, reasonable parent would show that child that there are more choices than that available to them.
Here, we just have to agree to disagree, because to me saying that smoking doesn't kill is just crazy talk. My grandmother died of heart disease after being a life-long smoker and my father died of lung cancer after being a life-long smoker. You just won't be able to convince me that those deaths weren't smoking related, so it's not even worth wasting the energy required to type in your argument.
I'll go along with agree to disagree as I do think there may be no budging. But will just note that there is a split in the vaping community on politics going forward. And that split has some vapers who are aligned with ANTZ rhetoric and some who are very willing to confront that with reason and all available science, not just the kind ANTZ want to tout.