First off, kids are after what looks cool.
vaping does NOT look cool. Maybe those little cigalikes do, but even an EGO with a clearo on it looks like a medical device. They're going to gravitate more towards analogs, IMHO. Then they get busted by mommy or daddy,
vaping might be a more stealthy option. So I can see how kids might be attracted to
vaping to get away with the act itself, but vaping leading to analogs? I think not, IMHO. Trade something stealthy, awesome flavors, and no stink for something obvious, foul tasting, terrible smelling, and expensive? No way.
On a related note, I was at a local b&m where they have a vape bar where there were three kids in their late teens. Two were trying out the juices and one just hanging out. The one waiting asked to try something, then was asked for proper ID. after some discussion, the owner of the shop determine her ID was not hers and was politely told no. Good on the employees! I was really impressed! Responsible adults are the key.