Thanks. My cost of ingredients for a year supply of nic at current prices is about $12. 13 x $12 = $165. That's still low compared to what I spent on cigarettes. So I suppose the relevent question is, do you think his estimated cost for commercial scale production is realistic?From the very few mechanisms I have seen for the synthesis of nicotine, the reason that synthetic nicotine is so expensive is because of the yield problems. The only high yield mechanism I have seen was an enantioselective synthesis for R-nicotine, but natural nicotine from tobacco produces L-nicotine (the most effective enantiomer).
The other mechanism for the correct enantiomer of nicotine had a theoretical yield of about 25% (you ALWAYS get less than the theoretical yield) of the starting material. Then the product would have to be purified and more would be lost.