I'm no expert at all, but will share my experience in hopes it's of use to you or someone else.
I have AW 1600's, AW 2000's, AW 2200's and Sony VTC5's. I rotate them all religiously, have rarely, if ever, vaped them below 3.5, usually changing at around 3.9. Some of them are from 2011.
I check them each time they come off the charger. The AW 1600's and 2000's are the oldest, and I've relegated them to flashlight use just because I don't need 23 batteries in rotation.
Just this week, I finally decided one of them was ready for recycle, since it only charged to 4.15v. ALL the rest, charge to 4.19-4.20 volts and so, I'm continuing to use them.
I've noticed no dropoff in how long they remain at a vapable level (time from initial use, to swapping out at around 3.9ish volts).
Bear in mind, the oldest (the AW 1600's) were used in the REOs in a regular rotation of 15 batteries, so I would assume with fewer in rotation, their life expectancy would be less. My vaping "sets" are now 4 AW 2200's (for me), and 4 Sony VTC5's (for the wife). Even so, I'd expect to get at least 2 years out of them. Just my experience with them.
Oh, and I charge them only on a Pila charger, which may, or may not have any effect on their life. HTH
