Commiserating with Ripple

Jump to latest Follow Reply
Status
Not open for further replies.
Sort by date Sort by reaction score
RippleInStillWater

RippleInStillWater

Supplier's Manufacturer - Offline
ECF Veteran
Jun 18, 2010
15,535
18,309
Land Of Corruption
spacekitty said:
Yep... the 'law of averages' has to catch up with you eventually... LOL!!

(I lose WAY more than I ever win, it just LOOKS like I win all the time... :D )
Click to expand...

Does it? DOES IT??? DOES IT?!?!?!? I am living proof that that is not true!!! LMAO!!!!!!

Unless you count juice ones and a couple kits I won -- but its not the same nor what I was usually entering for -- but SK knows of more contests than I do, too, she's not a whiner like me and gets invited more -- and that's a good thing!!!:thumb:
 
RippleInStillWater

RippleInStillWater

Supplier's Manufacturer - Offline
ECF Veteran
Jun 18, 2010
15,535
18,309
Land Of Corruption
sweetz said:
LOL I'm staying out of this law of averages thing, I'm sure my beginner's luck will run out and I won't win another thing all year!!! :D
Click to expand...

I was going to like your statement but I didn't want to jinx you!!!:thumb:

I was a math wiz growing up -- a skill that matters little today with computers and calculators -- and my forte was probability and statistics, I have beat all the odds to lose again and again somehow and it is an anomaly I cannot explain (and I have worked on the equations, dumbfounded) , it is amazing how random number generators avoid my entries!!!:laugh:

And I think I'm too out there with my stories and comments for the norms......:facepalm::thumbs:
 
sweetz

sweetz

Super Member
ECF Veteran
Verified Member
Oct 23, 2011
976
1,534
Texas
Nah, the statistics always add up in the end. There's just probably a higher weight in your equations given to contests with mods, as they are more important to you. So if losing one of them is equal to losing ten others involving only juices etc, that makes your base much larger, and thus you have to have a larger sample size to win one of the bigger contests ;) (now if that ain't flawed logic, I dunno what is!!!)
 
Bardolf Blaze

Bardolf Blaze

Super Member
ECF Veteran
Verified Member
Jun 2, 2011
664
566
Burlington, KY
RippleInStillWater said:
I was going to like your statement but I didn't want to jinx you!!!:thumb:

I was a math wiz growing up -- a skill that matters little today with computers and calculators -- and my forte was probability and statistics, I have beat all the odds to lose again and again somehow and it is an anomaly I cannot explain (and I have worked on the equations, dumbfounded) , it is amazing how random number generators avoid my entries!!!:laugh:

And I think I'm too out there with my stories and comments for the norms......:facepalm::thumbs:
Click to expand...
Rip, you keep shooting your probability in the foot with those little juice wins. Mathematically speaking each entry counts the same whether its for juice or a GG. Granted the losses on the juices help your overall chance but it's a sticky game.

For all you non-math geeks here are the stats:
Entering 500 contests at 1000 entries each gives you a 39.4% chance of winning ONE of them. It takes 2000 contests to get up to an 86.5% chance.

I'm such a nerd...:matrix:
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Similar threads

loxmythe
  • Locked
If Hippies Ruled The World CONTEST
Replies
538
Views
27K
Pay It Forward - PIF
RippleInStillWater
RippleInStillWater
B
  • Locked
Dark City Vapor customer service A++
Replies
0
Views
603
Reviews of Suppliers - Positive
BostonDub
B
J
  • Locked
Kanger Ripple Kit 200w - Halloween Sale 13% Off
Replies
0
Views
375
AVE40
Justin_ting
J
dspin
  • Locked
Top 12 favorite flavors
Replies
63
Views
18K
E-Liquid
DC2
DC2
Scamz
  • Locked
Favorite juices
Replies
19
Views
2K
E-Liquid
moosewvu
M

Users who are viewing this thread

Total: 3 (members: 0, guests: 3)
Top Bottom
Jump to latest Follow Reply
Jump to latest Follow Reply
Forums
Products
Vaping.com
Star Suppliers
Blogs
Menu