Gallup Poll finds 48% of former smokers in US reported quitting “cold turkey”, 5% with skin patch, 3% with e-cigarettes, 2% with prescription drugs, 1

Status
Not open for further replies.

Bill Godshall

Executive Director<br/> Smokefree Pennsylvania
ECF Veteran
Apr 2, 2009
5,171
13,288
68
Found the dates that each FDA approved "tobacco dependence" treatment was first marketed in US.

Nicorette gum - 1984
Wellbutrin - 1986
Nicoderm/Habitrol patches - 1992
Chantix - 2006

If these products were as effective as their manufacturers, hired guns and government health agencies have long claimed, far more former smokers would have said so (especially since about half of all smokers have tried using FDA approved products to try quitting).
 

Bill Godshall

Executive Director<br/> Smokefree Pennsylvania
ECF Veteran
Apr 2, 2009
5,171
13,288
68
More details about the Gallup Poll.

Gallup interviewed 546 former smokers, of whom 25-30 said they quit with patches, 14-19 said they quit smoking with e-cigs, 9-13 said they quit with prescription drugs, and 3-8 said they quit with nicotine gum.

While a larger random sample of former smokers would provide more accurate and reliable evidence, a random sample of 546 is not meaningless (although that's probably what e-cig opponents would say just to discredit the survey findings).

From the Gallup Poll:
Overall, 19% of Americans in Gallup's July Consumption Survey say they currently smoke, 24% are former smokers (they used to smoke on a regular basis), and 56% have never smoked.
With 2,020 survey respondents, that question had a maximum margin of sampling error of 3%.

There are 240 million Americans over the age of 18, and 24% of that would be 57.6 million former smokers in the US (which is several million higher, but consistent with other survey findings). 3% of 57.6 million is 1.728 million, which is consistent with what I and others have estimated (as I've been saying since 2011 that more than a million smokers in the US have quit by switching to e-cigarettes). I think its now accurate to say that between 1-2 million smokers in the US have quit by switching to e-cigs.

I think its also now accurate to say that 1-2 million (and perhaps 2-3 million) smokers have significantly reduced their cigarette consumption by substituting e-cigarettes (but they still smoke daily or occassionally).

Also from Gallup Poll
The quarter of Americans who are former smokers are primarily defined by age: 41% of those 65 and older used to smoke, but do not now, compared with 12% of those aged 18 to 29.

This is also important, as most of the survey's "former smokers" (and most former smokers in the US) are older and quit decades ago.

Perhaps an even more important finding of this Gallup Poll was that just 5% of former smokers reported quitting with patches, just 2% reported quitting with prescription drugs, and only 1% reported quitting with nicotine gum.

That has to be considered terrible news for the FDA and for drug companies, who have aggressively marketed their products as "proven to be the most effective way to quit smoking" for decades, and who have given $200-$300 million to CTFK, ACS, AHA, ALA, AMA, AAP, Pinney Associates, ATTUD, Legacy, smoking cessation researchers, etc. to promote and lobby for special protection for FDA approved drugs.

What would be truly helpful would be surveys of "former smokers" who quit smoking in the past decade (or in the past five years), as I suspect that a majority (or close to a majority) of people who quit smoking in past five years did so with e-cigarettes.

But of course, the CDC, FDA, NCI, Legacy, ACS, etc. won't fund or conduct that type of truly needed survey, because doing so would expose their decades of lies, destroy their own credibility, and could cause Congressional hearings and heads to roll at FDA. We need to find someone to fund that type of survey/study.
 
Last edited:

AgentAnia

Resting In Peace
ECF Veteran
May 22, 2013
3,739
9,455
Orbiting Sirius B
Hmmm ... I wonder how much a survey of 2,500 former smokers would cost?

Probably more than we can afford, but it's definitely something that should be considered.

What would be especially telling, I think, would be a survey of former smokers who quit smoking within the past 7 years (since ecigs were introduced). Wonder how many people would have to be contacted to result in a decent sample size of the above...
 

2coils

Ultra Member
ECF Veteran
Verified Member
Nov 29, 2012
1,504
2,500
New Jersey
With the B&M's on the rise along with the e-cig movement rapidly gaining momentum, I suppose that 3% figure can grow significantly! Especially, as the fear mongering is defeated. Really, as I am writing this, I cant help but think about all of the negative press e-cigs have gotten, and still over a million cigarette users have switched. That's REALLY INCREDIBLE!!
 

Vocalek

CASAA Activist
Supporting Member
ECF Veteran
What would be especially telling, I think, would be a survey of former smokers who quit smoking within the past 7 years (since ecigs were introduced). Wonder how many people would have to be contacted to result in a decent sample size of the above...

I would add one more condition: Have stayed off cigarettes for at least one year. So that would give us a range of people who quit between 2007 and 2012 and remained abstinent from smoking.

This probably would require a bunch of calls to get to a decent sample size. Back in the 60's almost half the population smoked. A lot of them had quit by 1990, when the number of smokers had dropped to 43.8 million adult smokers. When that statistic was collected, I believe they were counting people as "smokers" if they smoked every day. They have since changed the definition to having taken a single puff of smoke during the past 30 days.

So, even though the CDC is reporting that there were 43.8 million adult smokers during 2011 (latest figures available -- 2012 should be announced in November of this year), the number is likely to be somewhat smaller--how much smaller, I have no idea. The government doesn't want the numbers to sound TOO small, because they want to justify continuing bunches of government programs.
Current Cigarette Smoking Among Adults — United States, 2011

I'm not sure how to calculate how many phone calls you would have to make just to get a yes to someone in the household being a former smoker, and then how many more to track down those who quit since 2007. The CDC does say this: "Starting in 2002, the number of former smokers has exceeded the number of current smokers.(1)" CDC - Fact Sheet - Smoking Cessation - Smoking & Tobacco Use

(1) source: CDC - MMWRs - 2011 - Vol. 60 No. 44 - Introduction - Smoking & Tobacco Use
 

BuGlen

Divergent
Supporting Member
ECF Veteran
Mar 6, 2012
1,952
3,976
Tampa, Florida
I would add one more condition: Have stayed off cigarettes for at least one year. So that would give us a range of people who quit between 2007 and 2012 and remained abstinent from smoking. (snip...)

I very much agree. When I was smoking, I technically "quit" every night when I went to sleep and I just started over in the morning. The efficacy of a stop smoking aid, regardless of the type, is (or should be) measured in the success rate over time. A one year time frame would be a good period for that part of the study.
 

BuGlen

Divergent
Supporting Member
ECF Veteran
Mar 6, 2012
1,952
3,976
Tampa, Florida
Is this serious? Patches and gums has higher % of success than Ecigs?

According to the poll, yes. However, what Bill has been saying in the thread is true, that NRT patches and gum have been around longer, so it only makes sense that they would have a higher percentage. Also, given the relatively short time that e-cigs have been on the market, and even shorter time they've been really good, the percentage e-cigs is showing is quite significant.
 

AgentAnia

Resting In Peace
ECF Veteran
May 22, 2013
3,739
9,455
Orbiting Sirius B
I would add one more condition: Have stayed off cigarettes for at least one year. So that would give us a range of people who quit between 2007 and 2012 and remained abstinent from smoking.

If you were to frame it that way, could you please not start the survey until after Nov. 1? I'll be one year smoke free on that date, and I'd hate not to be included! :)
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Users who are viewing this thread