Latests smoking stats from CDC

[Vocalek]

Vital Signs: Current Cigarette Smoking Among Adults Aged ?18 Years --- United States, 2005--2010

Results: In 2010, 19.3% of U.S. adults (45.3 million) were current cigarette smokers. Higher smoking prevalence was observed in the Midwest (21.8%) and South (21.0%). From 2005 to 2010, the proportion of smokers declined from 20.9% to 19.3% (p<0.05 for trend), representing approximately 3 million fewer smokers in 2010 than would have existed had prevalence not declined since 2005. The proportion of daily smokers who smoked one to nine cigarettes per day (CPD) increased from 16.4% to 21.8% during 2005--2010 (p<0.05 for trend), whereas the proportion who smoked ≥30 CPD decreased from 12.7% to 8.3% (p<0.05 for trend).

Conclusions: During 2005--2010, an overall decrease was observed in the prevalence of cigarette smoking among adults; however, the amount and direction of change has not been consistent year-to-year.

Implications for Public Health Practice: Enhanced efforts are needed to accelerate the decline in cigarette smoking among adults. Population-based prevention strategies, such as tobacco taxes, media campaigns, and smoke-free policies, in concert with clinical cessation interventions, can help decrease cigarette smoking and reduce the health burden and economic impact of tobacco-related diseases in the United States.

Any bets as to how many of those fewer smokers are actually atttributable to folks taking up e-cigarettes, snus, and dissolvables?

Notice how the more effective measures still are not mentioned.

A clear case of wishful thinking. We wish it were not so, therefore it is not so.

Just dug into previous reports and found this:

In 2008, an estimated 20.6% (46.0 million) of U.S. adults were current cigarette smokers

In 2009, an estimated 20.6% (46.6 million) of U.S. adults were current cigarette smokers.

So from 2005 to 2009, prevalence fell by 0.3% (less than 0.1% per year) (no drop at all in 2008 and 2009) and in 2010 it took a larger dip of 1.3%, reducing the ranks of smokers by 1.2 million. That should about match the # of e-cigaaette switchers.

 

[rolygate]

I think we will now see a small reduction, year by year. This will herald a new war: the tobacco control industry will claim it as a win for them, and the e-cig community will be pointing out that the numbers lost to smoking equals the numbers gained by vaping. Ho hum.

But that's nothing to the war of words in two decades' time when smoking mortality has dropped substantially. It will be "entirely due to diligence by the authorities helped by tobacco reduction groups", or "because we vapers now have 25 million members" - depending on your point of view.

 

[jamesthompson]

I think we will now see a small reduction, year by year. This will herald a new war: the tobacco control industry will claim it as a win for them, and the e-cig community will be pointing out that the numbers lost to smoking equals the numbers gained by vaping. Ho hum.

But that's nothing to the war of words in two decades' time when smoking mortality has dropped substantially. It will be "entirely due to diligence by the authorities helped by tobacco reduction groups", or "because we vapers now have 25 million members" - depending on your point of view.

Or a combination there of.

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[Uncle Willie]

Once you reach a certain point, there is not likely going to be dramatic drops year in and year out ..