Perspective by the numbers

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Adrenalynn

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You could just cover that section with your hand. . . :) Seriously, though, it's just like "zooming in" on the data-set.

Here's what it would look like from 1/7 - 2/12

v4lgrowth-j7-f12-10.jpg
 

Adrenalynn

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Nothing of statistical significance, really. I have a hypothesis as to why.

First - there's not enough data there to see much correlation. Realistically, we need to look at time periods that are just longer than V4L has been around. Second - We vocal community members are not _the_ meat and potatoes of V4L. Think of the people you've convinced to try and/or switch to vaping... How many are really big forum participants? We all worship at the altar of volume in retail. A thousand $50 orders is going to swing even their earnings more than a hundred $100 orders. We're not even tracking dollar figures here, just order numbers. So the small repeat orders are the "winners". Locking someone in at $10/week forever is going to skew the chart more than some of our "big orderers".

In fact, we can identify that last paragraph as the major bias in this regression. It's biased towards order number and away from order value. In as much - it really is just a curiosity except where volume ultimately is some function of recurring revenue.

This is an addiction, make no mistake. The majority of us are going to reorder, sale or no, when we need it. We may be tempted to make small forays into uncharted territories by some discount, but it's not going to effect the meat-and-potatoes-bread-and-butter of the company, vis-a-vis the regular standing repeat addiction-satisfying order.

I believe these "sales" have more to do with Steve and team giving back to the loyal supporters than it does boosting sales. It also creates a level of excitement, freshness, "in-ness", and supportive spirit.
 

henrid84

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You sorta took the words out of my mouth before I saw your last post. If the tracking was dollars per day I imagine there could well be wild spikes but orders per day could still remain relatively stable.

Mondays would likely be a big spike and the way the special deals fall it might also be Fridays

yes but with the drought of juice ect. people were going elsewhere to purchase and with the new items (premium cartos, new PT's) i would think they would be returning and purchasing extra. ive seen countless times where myself included make an order and then V4L advertises something new and we make another order within a few days if not hours. i just think that this would show. i guess not.
 

Adrenalynn

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Anyone have any up-to-date order numbers and dates? I found one from 4/23, but I've been pretty remiss in keeping up with them when I see them fly by.

The growth has surely taken the predicted turn away from exponential and appears to barely be holding on to linear.

Black line is my predicted, blue dots are actual.

v4lgrowth-4-23-2010.jpg
 
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