Perspective by the numbers
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It's a nasty habit... Hey - I've got a good contest. How about predicting when they'll hit every 10k mark up to 50k? I'm ready to enter my predictions. [snicker]
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Hey - I've got a good contest. How about predicting when they'll hit every 10k mark up to 50k? I'm ready to enter my predictions. [snicker]
No way would I consider taking that wager. It would break me.
Hey - I've got a good contest. How about predicting when they'll hit every 10k mark up to 50k? I'm ready to enter my predictions. [snicker]
more fun might be predicting when that line will go completely vertical
I PM'd my data to Adrenalynn & Symmetric.
This thread started off interesting and has only gotten better!
This thread started off interesting and has only gotten better!
Hummm...exactly why I would use statistics for customer and order growth rate. Because you only need a sample to produce fairly accurate results + or - x standard deviation from the mean. Can you say bell curve? Averages percentages etc. Why didn't I think of that?
Shipping your autograph book to China would be expensive, but sure!Steve, Mark, Leaford, Mariano, Valerie......
Can I have your autograph? Please?
Thanks!
Proof that math still works.
The more datapoints, the more confidence in the regression.
So the curve _is_ exponential. That's really interesting.
y= 8E-198e0.0115x
R2 = 0.9979
n=41
No datapoints are overlapping, but we do have very closely spaced data here and that is in complete agreement.
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Shipping your autograph book to China would be expensive, but sure!
Awwwah, Leaford I luv you! You don't think you could COD it for her? Don't they give groupies/fans COD coverage...smile!
Steve, Mark, Leaford, Mariano, Valerie......
Can I have your autograph? Please?
My handwriting is worse than a doctor's... and smaller! I'll email you my name. You're way better off printing that!
Well, if you need projections for the business plan that are defensible but make people throw money at you - let me know.
Well, maybe not "all that"... Putting a little more effort into it, using some more advanced analysis, correlation goes down a little. Still outstanding though!
Multiple linear regression analysis, n=40
Multiple R 0.973079354
R Square 0.94688343
Adjusted R Square 0.945485625
Standard Error 997.1820235
Multiple linear regression analysis, n=40
Multiple R 0.973079354
R Square 0.94688343
Adjusted R Square 0.945485625
Standard Error 997.1820235
Anyone have any order numbers+dates from 2/3 to 2/6 they're willing to share? There's some drop at the end of the chart that is curious. Whether it's outlier or trend is still to be determined.
Rock! Thanks!
I'll go feed that into the series and run a regression. Thanks again!
I'll go feed that into the series and run a regression. Thanks again!
Two orders from me:
Order #20334, placed 2/4/2010 at 10:15PM
Order #20822, placed 2/5/2010 at 10:49PM
y=3E-197e0.0115x
R2=0.9983
Slope has dropped just a teensy bit the last week, but not enough to be more than an anomoly. No statistical significance yet. We see the same on the high side mid-november, so this just smooths it a little right now.
R2=0.9983
Slope has dropped just a teensy bit the last week, but not enough to be more than an anomoly. No statistical significance yet. We see the same on the high side mid-november, so this just smooths it a little right now.
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I expect a lot of new people this year...just look at all us newbies that have joined lately.
This is very interesting...it would be nice to have all the data we will never have access to. But I am enjoying watching V4L's explosive growth and am proud to be a small part of it. They certainty have earned the growth.
But I am enjoying watching V4L's explosive growth and am proud to be a small part of it. They certainty have earned the growth.- Status
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