...we disagree in the critical aspects of what the coming regulations will mean, how much time we have, and what it would take to confront those issues.
And that critical difference is where I can't agree with your additional suggestions regarding what actions vapers should be taking.
And my concern is that trying to address those issues now will in some respects push us backwards in terms of credibility.
I quote this part as just a reminder that this tangent started p. 10 and for me mentioning that black market operators are for sure stocking up and then this lead to the doom and gloomers rant by me, which spun into 'what might Jman do that is so different.'
So, again, I believe that not bringing up black market as viable solution to harsh regulations (before those regulations go into effect) is sign of lacking credibility on this issue. It is intellectually dishonest. I see the other items I brought up as addressing the core aspect of what we are really up against. I recognize that here in the transition period of waiting for FDA to come up with final rule that it is a little late in the game to make that push, but also still feel that those items are at the core and will be the day after the final rule comes out, and a year after that and 25 years after that.
Instead, we are constantly playing defense with what's currently being dealt to us by ANTZ. Them on offense, with anti-smoking battle virtually won, and going full steam ahead (pun intended) on vaping battle. Us on defense, and yet us having science on our side, a decent amount of political momentum, technological advancements, black market to deal with their zealotry run amok and court battles that could favor us, and a rather tame FDA first round of regulations that just so happened to make ANTZ feel like FDA is siding with vaping enthusiasts (read as ANTZ very upset by this).
But since you asked me this question already, and I provided my answer...
Maybe you could clarify what resources YOU think it would take to combat those issues?
For me, it starts with communications / education of fellow vapers. If I can't persuade fellow vapers, many of who are ex-smokers, then not sure what much can be done with other parts of population where these types of discussions are few and far between. I know DC2 gets this understanding and I feel there are a number of longtime ECF'ers who came way before me that have this understanding, but that the majority are entrenched in ANTZ dogma. I feel this is as good of a starting point as any. Costs very little money, and helps to possibly build a base to fight back on the core issue. I don't think it is only step to be taking, but I do see it as one of the more important steps to be taking. If I write to a politician with regards to a CTA, or discuss vaping with vaping shopper, or add comments to an article, I'm coming from this perspective and if need be, I will go there in my discourse because I do believe the point is that critical to what vaping is really up against.
I think it would certainly be more dangerous than any other alternative.
This quote by you with regards to black market. I'll grant you this, and still stick to claim that black market is not inherently dangerous. And the actual alternative per this discussion is no market from which to buy any products cause, according to doom and gloomers, more than 99% have been eliminated. So, the actual choice is do you as a vaping enthusiast / shopper wish to have self limiting choice of no longer being able to obtain 99% of what you currently do, or do you wish to go to the not inherently dangerous black market to get arguably 100% of everything you are currently able to get?
Except that they don't care. Not the ANTZ, not the legislators, and most likely not the public either.
I disagree. Black market is something people will care about. Not all the time, and likely not even a significant amount of time. For die-hard vaping enthusiast that could be a great thing. The less attention on the black market that delivers 100% of the products that were available in mid 2014, the better. But, I reckon the black market will have people that highlight it from time to time, and who make claims that it is wildly dangerous, exposing our kids to great harm(s), and that something needs to happen. Vaping enthusiasts will say yes, something like reasonable regulations instead of those that were ANTZ driven and lead to the black market needs to happen. ANTZ will argue that more enforcement or more government intervention is necessary, or whatever ANTZ does in response to black market. Something along lines of further propaganda to convince parents that it is very dangerous and hmmmm, I dunno, like the wild west.
What is the result of arguing that a black market will provide a solution?
Other than the fact that I don't think it is a valid solution, but assuming it would be...
To the extent that some people feel it is a valid solution, such a feeling would lead to inaction.
Other than organized criminal types, I don't see anyone planning for a black market. It would not benefit anyone for it to come about, but once it came about, it would serve as option for vapers who felt certain regulations were going to eliminate all of their available choices. This is the 'solution' part that you disagree with and IMO, is neither here nor there, as people will cross that bridge when it comes or they will learn to do without. Here in the information age and with a good 5 years lead time, I don't see it being something that is unknown to vapers, but admittedly there will be some that have no clue where to go once regulations are truly being enforced (and long after they are implemented).
The point of bringing it up now is for vapers to realize this is where harsh penalties could lead us (not the only place, but something to be honest about) and to let general public know that we vapers will find a way to get our products. Just like there is black market for legally existing combustibles, there will be a market for vaping stuff and it could have dire consequences for safety and protection that the open market has. It may not, and well if general public / ANTZ really wants to go there, then vapers will adapt.
So while you're worried about "doom and gloomers" essentially telling people there is no hope, which would lead to inaction...
I feel that trying to assuage their concerns by letting them know there will be a thriving black market would also lead to inaction...
I'm not saying either side is leading to inaction. I don't see inaction as possible. I see doom and gloomers trying to motivate through fear and often conveying hopelessness in the defensive game that we are playing with ANTZ cause the larger/core issues are 'too big to take on at this time.' So, I call it like I see it and say that ANTZ's absolutely worst case scenario would lead to a black market, and that vapers will still win. But black market, IMO, is nowhere near ideal and I assume keep the open market wide open. But, as long as it is open and core issue isn't being addressed, I fully expect ANTZ to believe that they already won on the smoking battle and it will be much easier to win on the vaping front if they just keep applying say propaganda to those who seemed to eat up the smoking lies with little to no argument.