The ANTZ must be jumping for joy and hope your views become mainstream. It is exactly what they want. Just roll over and make believe the black market will solve everything. Sounds like a great plan.
Well, it certainly has solved everything for numerous other markets. Let's take one for example - lasers. Anything over 5mW is illegal to buy/own/sell without a license. Customs seizes any it finds - that's a fraction of what's being shipped. Everyone who wants one, has one. People see others using them and ask "where can I get one". It's really not that hard.
Let's take another industry for example - drugs. Doesn't everyone who wants something, have it? The 'community' helps itself. Despite the strong efforts by government, it's a booming industry and they've failed to squash it over many, many years. I go to clubs and see it first hand. How many times do I get approached by people just standing in line outside, and get just about the whole menu offered before I even get into the dark, safer environment inside? Yeah, it's that 'available'. Our industry isn't nearly as difficult a fight.
In the meantime the vast majority of products now freely available to us disappear, B&M stores will be gone (nothing to sell), along with every medium the small producer and most larger ones. If this regulation passes as is, nearly everything now on the market will be gone, and that is not fear-mongering, thats reality.
No, you had it right the first time - it's fear-mongering. "Gone"? Where exactly do you think they'll go? Will they all turn into pumpkins at midnight? No - they're all over the world, and will continue to be all over the world. Sure, some companies won't ship to the US (some already don't), but that's what proxies are for - I use 'em all the time, for legal items not available for purchase in the US. No, worst case still wouldn't be all that bad, really. Bad for businesses that go out of business, but that's any business risk, especially when you KNOW what the future holds in store for your business - regulation.
The black market may help those that already know there way around, but for the vast majority of current and future smokers who want to make the switch the black market is not going to help. The ignorant lazy attitude of black market solutions is in fact a death knoll for millions of smokers.
No, no, it's not. There are far too many ex-smokers turned vapers out there to encourage others to quit. "So, where can I get one of those?" "Here, let me help you". Done. We're already doing that today. People at work ask me about it every day (I work in a large company), and I take them to the vape shop, explain their options, and help them out. OK, so worst case I take them online and help them out instead of going to the B&M. Not really a big difference there. Ever introduce someone to FastTech?
I hope none of this fear-mongering comes to fruition, and will fight the good fight along with everyone else, but in the end, I know everything will be just fine, either way. I'd rather see the B&M's stay in business. Some of them have become friends, and it's nice to be able to sit down at the juice bar. All we can do is follow the guidance of the experts, such as CASAA, and hope for the best - but the worst really isn't all that bad.
IMHO, it'll end up somewhere in the middle. B&M's will still be open, selling less variety of products and juices, and that'll be just fine for those wanting to quit smoking. The rest of us - those with more than a single mod - are hobbyists, and will get the new products that get announced from our favorite manufacturers, by whatever means necessary.
Okay, I may have been a bit harsh on that last one..... so it goes.....
Yes, yes you were. I don't know where you're getting your opinion from, but I get mine from experience with other industries. All this fear-mongering about how everything will magically disappear is just... plain... wrong.