- Apr 2, 2009
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Newly released NYTS data from CDC at
Tobacco Product Use Among Middle and High School Students United States, 2011 and 2012
along with NYTS data released by CDC on Sept 6 at
Notes from the Field: Electronic Cigarette Use Among Middle and High School Students United States, 20112012
confirm that increasingly more teen smokers have been switching to e-cigs, that e-cigs are gateways away from (not towards) cigarette smoking for teens, and that the CDC has been deceitfully misleading the public about e-cigs to lobby for FDA ban/regs.
In sharp contrast to CDC's fear mongering claims about e-cigs and youth during past two months, CDC's 2011/2012 NYTS data actually found that cigarette smokers in high school were 21.3 times more likely than nonsmokers to report past 30 day e-cig use in 2011 (7.595% vs .356%), and were 22.4 times more likely to do so in 2012 (15.7% vs .7%).
Among middle school students, current cigarette smokers were 22.7 times more likely than nonsmokers to report past 30 day e-cig use in 2011 (6.977% vs .307%), and were 48.8 times more likely to do so in 2012 (20% vs .44%).
Tobacco Product Use Among Middle and High School Students United States, 2011 and 2012
This newly released data also found that:
Past 30 day cigarette smoking among 9th-12th graders declined from 15.8% in 2011 to 14.0% in 2012.
Past 30 day cigarette smoking among 6th-8th graders declined from 4.3% in 2011 to 3.5% in 2012.
So why did the CDC decide not to reveal this critically important (and truly excellent news) finding in their Sept 6 MMWR that false claimed e-cigs were addicting youth, were gateways to cigarettes? The answer is that CDC's lies about e-cigs and youth (since Sept 6) would have been obvious to the public had CDC reported all of these NYTS findings on Sept 6. Instead, CDC chose to leak and spin highly selective cherry picked data from NYTS three different times in the past three months to misrepresent their own survey findings and to lobby for FDA deeming regulation.
Also, according to 2011 NYTS (revealed in another CDC MMWR), current cigarette smokers in grades 6th-12 were 19.9 times more likely than nonsmokers to report past 30 day e-cig use in 2011 (6.75% vs .34%).
Since the CDC hasn't revealed the 2012 NYTS' past 30 day cigarette smoking rate among 6th-12th graders, we don't precisely how much more likely smokers were than nonsmokers to have used an e-cig in the past 30 days. But since smokers in 6th-8th grade were 48.8 times more likely, and since smokers in 9th-12 grade were 22.4 times more likely, smokers in 6th-12th grade were about 34 (+/-1) times more likely than nonsmokers to have used an e-cig in past 30 days in 2012, which is significantly higher than in 2011.
2011 NYTS among high school students (9th-12th grade)
15.8% reported past 30 day cigarette smoking
84.2% reported no cigarette smoking in past 30 days
1.5% reported past 30 day e-cig use
1.2% reported past 30 day dual use (cigarettes and e-cigs)
Thus,
7.6% of current smokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.012 / .158 = .07595)
.356% of nonsmokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.003 / .842 = .00356)
Current smokers were 21.3 times more likely than nonsmokers to report past 30 day e-cig use (.07595 / .00356 = 21.33)
2012 NYTS among high school students (9th-12th grade)
14.0% reported past 30 day cigarette smoking
86.0% reported no cigarette smoking in past 30 days
2.8% reported past 30 day e-cig use
2.2% reported past 30 day dual use (cigarettes and e-cigs)
Thus,
15.7% of smokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.022 / .14 = .157)
.7% of nonsmokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.006 / .86 = .007)
Current smokers were 22.4 times more likely than nonsmokers to report past 30 day e-cig use (.157 / .007 = 22.43)
2011 NYTS among middle school students (6th-8th grade)
4.3% reported past 30 day cigarette smoking
95.7% reported no cigarette smoking in past 30 days
.6% reported past 30 day e-cig use
.3% reported past 30 day dual use (cigarettes and e-cigs)
Thus,
7.0% of smokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.3 / .043 = 6.977)
.3% of nonsmokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.3 / .957 = .307)
Current smokers were 22.7 times more likely than nonsmokers to report past 30 day e-cig use (.06977 / .00307 22.73)
2012 NYTS among middle school students (6th-8th grade)
3.5% reported past 30 day cigarette smoking
96.5% reported non cigarette smoking in past 30 days
1.1% reported past 30 day e-cig use
.7% reported past 30 day dual use (cigarettes and e-cigs)
Thus
20% of current smokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.007 / .035 - .2)
.4% of nonsmokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.004 / .965 = .0041)
Current smokers were 48.8 times more likely than nonsmokers to report past 30 day e-cig use (.2 / .0044 = 48.78)
Further, although the CDC hasn't provided 2012 NYTS past 30 day cigarette smoking rates for 6th-12th graders, the CDC indirectly reported that 11.86% of 6th-12th graders reported past 30 day cigarette consumption in the 2011 NYTS in another report issued last month (on cigars and flavored cigars that also lobbied for FDA deeming regulation) The overall prevalence of current use was 4.2% for flavored cigarettes, and among current cigarette smokers, 35.4% reported using flavored cigarettes.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1054139X13004151
Therefore, the 2011 NYTS found an overall prevalence of current cigarette smoking among 6th -12th graders was 11.86% (.042/.354 = .1186).
2011 NYTS among all students (6th-12th grade)
11.86% smoked cigarette in past 30 days
88.14% non cigarette smokers
1.1% used an e-cig past 30 days
.8% dual users (cigarettes and e-cigs) in past 30 days
Thus
6.75% of current smokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.008/.1186 = .0675)
.34% of nonsmokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.003 / .8814 = .0034)
Current smokers were 19.9 times more likely than nonsmokers to report past 30 day e-cig use (.0675 / .0034 = 19.85)
Another new study (that I posted about earlier today) found very similar results.
Study of NY and CT high school students finds cigarette smokers remained 55 times more likely than nonsmokers to report past 30 day e-cig use (55.6 in 2/10, 54.9 in 10/10, 54.5 in 6/11) as overall e-cig
use increased from .9% in 2/10 to 2.3% in 6/11, confirming that increasingly more teen smokers (like adult smokers) are switching to e-cigs, and that e-cigs are gateways away from (not towards) cigarette
smoking for teens.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306460313002736
But the authors (who endorsed FDAs 2009 e-cig ban) only disclosed this extremely important finding in studys full text, but not in the freely available study abstract.
A month ago, I posted a somewhat similar finding (based upon NSDUH survey data) at
http://www.e-cigarette-forum.com/fo...e-likely-than-nonsmokers-have-used-e-cig.html
But now that CDC has released more (but not nearly all) of its 2011/2012 NYTS data, the CDC has just confirmed that it has been grossly misrepresenting its NYTS survey data to lobby for FDA ban/regs.
Tobacco Product Use Among Middle and High School Students United States, 2011 and 2012
along with NYTS data released by CDC on Sept 6 at
Notes from the Field: Electronic Cigarette Use Among Middle and High School Students United States, 20112012
confirm that increasingly more teen smokers have been switching to e-cigs, that e-cigs are gateways away from (not towards) cigarette smoking for teens, and that the CDC has been deceitfully misleading the public about e-cigs to lobby for FDA ban/regs.
In sharp contrast to CDC's fear mongering claims about e-cigs and youth during past two months, CDC's 2011/2012 NYTS data actually found that cigarette smokers in high school were 21.3 times more likely than nonsmokers to report past 30 day e-cig use in 2011 (7.595% vs .356%), and were 22.4 times more likely to do so in 2012 (15.7% vs .7%).
Among middle school students, current cigarette smokers were 22.7 times more likely than nonsmokers to report past 30 day e-cig use in 2011 (6.977% vs .307%), and were 48.8 times more likely to do so in 2012 (20% vs .44%).
Tobacco Product Use Among Middle and High School Students United States, 2011 and 2012
This newly released data also found that:
Past 30 day cigarette smoking among 9th-12th graders declined from 15.8% in 2011 to 14.0% in 2012.
Past 30 day cigarette smoking among 6th-8th graders declined from 4.3% in 2011 to 3.5% in 2012.
So why did the CDC decide not to reveal this critically important (and truly excellent news) finding in their Sept 6 MMWR that false claimed e-cigs were addicting youth, were gateways to cigarettes? The answer is that CDC's lies about e-cigs and youth (since Sept 6) would have been obvious to the public had CDC reported all of these NYTS findings on Sept 6. Instead, CDC chose to leak and spin highly selective cherry picked data from NYTS three different times in the past three months to misrepresent their own survey findings and to lobby for FDA deeming regulation.
Also, according to 2011 NYTS (revealed in another CDC MMWR), current cigarette smokers in grades 6th-12 were 19.9 times more likely than nonsmokers to report past 30 day e-cig use in 2011 (6.75% vs .34%).
Since the CDC hasn't revealed the 2012 NYTS' past 30 day cigarette smoking rate among 6th-12th graders, we don't precisely how much more likely smokers were than nonsmokers to have used an e-cig in the past 30 days. But since smokers in 6th-8th grade were 48.8 times more likely, and since smokers in 9th-12 grade were 22.4 times more likely, smokers in 6th-12th grade were about 34 (+/-1) times more likely than nonsmokers to have used an e-cig in past 30 days in 2012, which is significantly higher than in 2011.
2011 NYTS among high school students (9th-12th grade)
15.8% reported past 30 day cigarette smoking
84.2% reported no cigarette smoking in past 30 days
1.5% reported past 30 day e-cig use
1.2% reported past 30 day dual use (cigarettes and e-cigs)
Thus,
7.6% of current smokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.012 / .158 = .07595)
.356% of nonsmokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.003 / .842 = .00356)
Current smokers were 21.3 times more likely than nonsmokers to report past 30 day e-cig use (.07595 / .00356 = 21.33)
2012 NYTS among high school students (9th-12th grade)
14.0% reported past 30 day cigarette smoking
86.0% reported no cigarette smoking in past 30 days
2.8% reported past 30 day e-cig use
2.2% reported past 30 day dual use (cigarettes and e-cigs)
Thus,
15.7% of smokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.022 / .14 = .157)
.7% of nonsmokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.006 / .86 = .007)
Current smokers were 22.4 times more likely than nonsmokers to report past 30 day e-cig use (.157 / .007 = 22.43)
2011 NYTS among middle school students (6th-8th grade)
4.3% reported past 30 day cigarette smoking
95.7% reported no cigarette smoking in past 30 days
.6% reported past 30 day e-cig use
.3% reported past 30 day dual use (cigarettes and e-cigs)
Thus,
7.0% of smokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.3 / .043 = 6.977)
.3% of nonsmokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.3 / .957 = .307)
Current smokers were 22.7 times more likely than nonsmokers to report past 30 day e-cig use (.06977 / .00307 22.73)
2012 NYTS among middle school students (6th-8th grade)
3.5% reported past 30 day cigarette smoking
96.5% reported non cigarette smoking in past 30 days
1.1% reported past 30 day e-cig use
.7% reported past 30 day dual use (cigarettes and e-cigs)
Thus
20% of current smokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.007 / .035 - .2)
.4% of nonsmokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.004 / .965 = .0041)
Current smokers were 48.8 times more likely than nonsmokers to report past 30 day e-cig use (.2 / .0044 = 48.78)
Further, although the CDC hasn't provided 2012 NYTS past 30 day cigarette smoking rates for 6th-12th graders, the CDC indirectly reported that 11.86% of 6th-12th graders reported past 30 day cigarette consumption in the 2011 NYTS in another report issued last month (on cigars and flavored cigars that also lobbied for FDA deeming regulation) The overall prevalence of current use was 4.2% for flavored cigarettes, and among current cigarette smokers, 35.4% reported using flavored cigarettes.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1054139X13004151
Therefore, the 2011 NYTS found an overall prevalence of current cigarette smoking among 6th -12th graders was 11.86% (.042/.354 = .1186).
2011 NYTS among all students (6th-12th grade)
11.86% smoked cigarette in past 30 days
88.14% non cigarette smokers
1.1% used an e-cig past 30 days
.8% dual users (cigarettes and e-cigs) in past 30 days
Thus
6.75% of current smokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.008/.1186 = .0675)
.34% of nonsmokers reported past 30 day e-cig use (.003 / .8814 = .0034)
Current smokers were 19.9 times more likely than nonsmokers to report past 30 day e-cig use (.0675 / .0034 = 19.85)
Another new study (that I posted about earlier today) found very similar results.
Study of NY and CT high school students finds cigarette smokers remained 55 times more likely than nonsmokers to report past 30 day e-cig use (55.6 in 2/10, 54.9 in 10/10, 54.5 in 6/11) as overall e-cig
use increased from .9% in 2/10 to 2.3% in 6/11, confirming that increasingly more teen smokers (like adult smokers) are switching to e-cigs, and that e-cigs are gateways away from (not towards) cigarette
smoking for teens.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306460313002736
But the authors (who endorsed FDAs 2009 e-cig ban) only disclosed this extremely important finding in studys full text, but not in the freely available study abstract.
A month ago, I posted a somewhat similar finding (based upon NSDUH survey data) at
http://www.e-cigarette-forum.com/fo...e-likely-than-nonsmokers-have-used-e-cig.html
But now that CDC has released more (but not nearly all) of its 2011/2012 NYTS data, the CDC has just confirmed that it has been grossly misrepresenting its NYTS survey data to lobby for FDA ban/regs.
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