Either way, we won't know until everything goes public, but what do you think will happen?
I still think it will be rather tame compared to outright ban of
vaping products and elimination of 99% of the market. I think that sort of scenario would be a decade away, and assumes vapers will be completely ineffective in fighting back and completely unwilling to establish any sort of underground market (including DIY) going forward.
I think the politics will be (or arguably already are) kinda scary, but is truly based on the way FSPTCA is framed, and how much vaping is tied to that core premise. I think ANTZ are routinely overplaying their hand and in medium to long term political reality, stand to lose more than they could possibly gain. But I think there are enough on our side of the equation that aren't shy about using scare mongering tactics and who might sell out on a few fundamental points to save their own butts.
I believe vapers will be effective in fighting back, but we won't get everything that all of us want, while we will get some items, and likely some fundamental stuff. As a prime example of what I'm saying, I think flavors may be temporarily banned, and presented to public as if there is no possible reason for flavors other than to attract kids to vaping nicotine, and that this is a permanent ban being put into place. But due to fighting back, the tide will turn on that, and vapers will effectively fight to have flavors allowed, while attempting to be part of the 'solution' that prevents kids from getting a hold of vape stuff. Another example, though not so sure about this one, is I can see a scenario where open systems are banned, and vapers fight back on that, and have that overturned. By fighting back, I do mean using courts to make the ultimate decision to allow, but also using underground market to show it is clearly the choice of adults to use this.
When I say 'rather tame,' I am referring to what is immediately on the horizon. I think there will be more than one round of proposed items to control the industry, and that further rounds will not be so tame. Currently, a ban on flavors would be something that was not presented in FDA proposal from 2014, but I see a round coming about where that will be either proposed or simply established as falling in line with FSPTCA. And I honestly do think smoking could make a come back of sorts in all this because of how much ANTZ are overplaying their hand, and how much they are risking their deceptive tactics to be exposed (as deception).
