Yes, we are grinding. There really isn't much more to be said here, among the sane folks posting on this thread.
So I'll just summarize the world as I see it ... YMMV.
1) There is nothing wrong with a "hail Mary" pass (Runyon). The path is very narrow and the chances are slim, perhaps nonextant. But it's all we got. Being sanguine about it would be silly. But why not give it a shot if the evidence can be found? That's huge obstacle #1 out of God-knows-how-many. No one is opposed to the concept in principle, I think.
2) I don't have a problem speculating about whether the FDA will be influenced about comments, whether the final proposed rule will incorporate many of them, or whether comments can be part of a valuable overall strategy. Actually I'll let this guy, who is the former FDA Chief Counsel, now in private practice, speak for me: https://soundcloud.com/vp-live/smoke-free-radio-episode-3
In particular: he seems to think that the final proposed rule will look a lot like the current proposed rule (in other words the FDA isn't going to care much about what we say); but also that comments are important when it comes to building a record for future litigation, if it does result as CASAA (and others) seem to conjecture. And by law, the FDA does not only have to cognize accurate, factual comments, but they also cannot entirely ignore the notion of a MRTP, a modified-risk tobacco product. And it seems highly likely to me that CASAA will ask us to comment regarding that issue. I suspect so based on what I'm seeing both on Bill G.'s comments as well as on C.V's blog (not to mention Siegel's and may others'). And why not? That's the point of THR, isn't it? Cessation is also an issue when it comes to the net health consequences.
An effective commenting strategy may also slow the FDA down, thus giving the vaping market more time to develop, and increasing the chances that the FDA will not end up presenting a final rule before the administration changeover (which usually means that proposed rules die). Bill G. brought up the example of OSHA's attempt to ban indoor workplace combustible tobacco smoking. They proposed a rule in '94, got over a million comments, and presto! nothing ever happened. Having the vaping-as-we-know-it persist for a few extra months will increase the likelihood that we'll have better statistics if/when the final proposed rule goes to congress, where the comments (and FDA's responses to them) will also be helpful in mounting the kind of legislative effort that might make the FDA's life difficult (that could also be done during the final OMB review, if I don't miss my guess).
We've all heard the expression "if we could just save one child." Well, maybe we're talking about thousands or even tens of thousands of smokers who quit in favor of vaping for every month that we can drag this process out. Isn't that a valid reason to try to slow the FDA down - by itself?
3) I would almost be prepared to offer to eat my trackball if CASAA suggests that we can somehow "cooperate" with the FDA or operate in any sort of non-adversarial manner vis-a-vis them. That's ludicrous. But there's more than one way to skin a cat. We could win this over the long run, or at least come out with a final proposed rule that somehow encompases some form or recognition of harm reduction via the public health beneifts calculus or the MRTP exception - both of which FDA is required by law to consider. And which open it up to legal vulnerabiities, as well as both public and congressoinal scrutiny if it does not.
Of course that's the big enchilda there, isn't it? Vaping has always been about improving public health. We are simply taking our "flag" as it were and attempting to plant it on the statute as part of the regulatory process: whether that "planting" occurs in the context of congressional oversight, public scrutiny, or litigation, we can still "win" or at least get something out of the process which serves the cause of vapers and public health to boot. That's what this is all about, I think.
Again, I'd like to think that all the sane people posting to this thread are in general agreement with the above ideas, modulo perhaps a quibble or two about the way I expressed them - i.e. perhaps there's some ambiguity that might lead to a misunderstanding.
So I'll just summarize the world as I see it ... YMMV.
1) There is nothing wrong with a "hail Mary" pass (Runyon). The path is very narrow and the chances are slim, perhaps nonextant. But it's all we got. Being sanguine about it would be silly. But why not give it a shot if the evidence can be found? That's huge obstacle #1 out of God-knows-how-many. No one is opposed to the concept in principle, I think.
2) I don't have a problem speculating about whether the FDA will be influenced about comments, whether the final proposed rule will incorporate many of them, or whether comments can be part of a valuable overall strategy. Actually I'll let this guy, who is the former FDA Chief Counsel, now in private practice, speak for me: https://soundcloud.com/vp-live/smoke-free-radio-episode-3
In particular: he seems to think that the final proposed rule will look a lot like the current proposed rule (in other words the FDA isn't going to care much about what we say); but also that comments are important when it comes to building a record for future litigation, if it does result as CASAA (and others) seem to conjecture. And by law, the FDA does not only have to cognize accurate, factual comments, but they also cannot entirely ignore the notion of a MRTP, a modified-risk tobacco product. And it seems highly likely to me that CASAA will ask us to comment regarding that issue. I suspect so based on what I'm seeing both on Bill G.'s comments as well as on C.V's blog (not to mention Siegel's and may others'). And why not? That's the point of THR, isn't it? Cessation is also an issue when it comes to the net health consequences.
An effective commenting strategy may also slow the FDA down, thus giving the vaping market more time to develop, and increasing the chances that the FDA will not end up presenting a final rule before the administration changeover (which usually means that proposed rules die). Bill G. brought up the example of OSHA's attempt to ban indoor workplace combustible tobacco smoking. They proposed a rule in '94, got over a million comments, and presto! nothing ever happened. Having the vaping-as-we-know-it persist for a few extra months will increase the likelihood that we'll have better statistics if/when the final proposed rule goes to congress, where the comments (and FDA's responses to them) will also be helpful in mounting the kind of legislative effort that might make the FDA's life difficult (that could also be done during the final OMB review, if I don't miss my guess).
We've all heard the expression "if we could just save one child." Well, maybe we're talking about thousands or even tens of thousands of smokers who quit in favor of vaping for every month that we can drag this process out. Isn't that a valid reason to try to slow the FDA down - by itself?
3) I would almost be prepared to offer to eat my trackball if CASAA suggests that we can somehow "cooperate" with the FDA or operate in any sort of non-adversarial manner vis-a-vis them. That's ludicrous. But there's more than one way to skin a cat. We could win this over the long run, or at least come out with a final proposed rule that somehow encompases some form or recognition of harm reduction via the public health beneifts calculus or the MRTP exception - both of which FDA is required by law to consider. And which open it up to legal vulnerabiities, as well as both public and congressoinal scrutiny if it does not.
Of course that's the big enchilda there, isn't it? Vaping has always been about improving public health. We are simply taking our "flag" as it were and attempting to plant it on the statute as part of the regulatory process: whether that "planting" occurs in the context of congressional oversight, public scrutiny, or litigation, we can still "win" or at least get something out of the process which serves the cause of vapers and public health to boot. That's what this is all about, I think.
Again, I'd like to think that all the sane people posting to this thread are in general agreement with the above ideas, modulo perhaps a quibble or two about the way I expressed them - i.e. perhaps there's some ambiguity that might lead to a misunderstanding.
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