Hmmm... Gantz is an engineer. I'm struggling with putting that into perspective. 

Hmmm... Gantz is an engineer. I'm struggling with putting that into perspective.![]()
As a relevant side point, can anyone reading this sit down today and have informal chat with board members of CASAA? I ask this because a) it is relevant to the larger point and b) because I find it rather impossible. "They're busy" - is patent response, and I understand this. Is not Zeller busy? Can he afford time daily for the millions that would love to have an informal chat with him?
But what the pro-vaper is either reluctant to discuss or refuses to acknowledge is that cold turkey is still the best method around, when taking into account the overall public health position. And as long as our side downplays that, then we leave door wide open for criticisms and controversy.
I hope you didn't take this as a dig against yourself or CASAA. It truly wasn't meant to be - I know you've tried.
No, it's absurd that this is the situation, but I've just been informed that the FDA estimates there to be approximately 140 individual businesses involved in the e-cigarette industry. Well, we have 625 (yes, 600) US ecig ONLINE businesses registered at ECF! And over 1600 registered in total (including many that are no longer trading). At a push, I'd say we have 900 actively trading businesses registered - and that's only the ones who registered with ECF.
SFATA estimate 14000 vapestores nationwide. Some businesses clearly own multiple stores - but still....
So, where does the FDA get its information from? I think Carl's right - it's only interested in the "bound volumes" of academic publications.
But even if someone drops down to (say) one cigarette a week after years of vaping from 3 PAD, we will lose both the mortality and the morality ("they're still smoking") argument on this.
The other picky point here is that without complete cessation, the ANTZ can argue that relapse is more likely. The FDA has already signaled its intention to to make that argument about vaping in one of the PDFs that was recently posted - which is why we probably need to be able to show that (complete) cessation is long-term.
This is why I think we're going to have to hang our hat on the cessation peg without arguing reduction - at least until we have that kind of more nuanced data. (We might, someday.)
<snip>
Cold turkey is only the best method for those who want to quit. E-cigs are the best for those who don't want to quit. I personally know hundreds of smokers who quit "unintentionaly" using e-cigs, but none who unintentionally quit cold turkey.
Only a small number of smokers make an actual attempt to quit each year, so having a product that causes smokers to quit or cut down without that intent could be seen as better for overall public health. If cold turkey is a seat belt that someone may not use, e-cigarettes are air bags.
Tom is right to point out that the FDA isn't fundamentally evil (especially simply by virtue of being a government agency). Like the police force, it was designed to, and often does, serve a crucial protective function; we'd in fact be fairly screwed without it. I don't see our issue as part of a broad scheme by our current administration to destroy individual freedom and the American way of life - there's lots of that in here, it's over-familiar nonsense and I try to ignore it.* I also agree that a reasoned, amicable confrontation, armed with facts and a willingness to recognize the opposition as human is a crucial starting point in any negotiation. That's Activism 101.
(snip)
*On the other hand, we're all shaped by our experience. Right or left, the most passionate and credible amongst us have been deeply and personally burned by government power run amok. Our values and goals are sometimes diametrically opposed, as is our take on nearly every damned issue (to the delight of our real overlords, who have exploited 'divide and conquer' to the max here - we are severely played, all of us; we can't even agree on who's playing us), but the instinct that questions and challenges entrenched and overweening authority is crucial.
I agree with you, Aubergine. I don't believe that any organization is evil--per se. Not the FDA, or ALA, or CDC, or BP. I don't believe that anybody wakes up in the morning and goes to work with a goal to do something vile and horrible. The VA is a great and honorable organization also and is lead by a 4-star general, a war hero who certainly cares for our veterans and nobody will convince me otherwise. How about Pentagon and their $640 toilet seats...
The problem is the structure--the shear size of those government bureaucracies and the myriad of idiotic laws that bind them that make them so inefficient and prone to failure and abuse and corruption. I don't know what the solution is... I can only hope that somehow the truth will prevail.
<snip>
When you have actual reasons for hanging the proverbial hat on the cessation peg, do let me know. Until then, cold turkey/willpower will be squarely on that peg, making the most sense to non-users, aka the majority.
"Tobacco use is the leading cause of preventable death in the United States, imposing a terrible toll in health, lives and dollars on families, businesses and government. Tobacco kills more than 480,000 people annually more than AIDS, alcohol, car accidents, illegal drugs, murders and suicides combined."
Yeah but ....where was "I also agree that a reasoned, amicable confrontation, armed with facts and a willingness to recognize the opposition as human is a crucial starting point in any negotiation. That's Activism 101."... when it came to GWB?
I don't think he would have gotten away with the "I'm mad as hell" routine we're seeing weekly.
Cold turkey is only the best method for those who want to quit. E-cigs are the best for those who don't want to quit. I personally know hundreds of smokers who quit "unintentionaly" using e-cigs, but none who unintentionally quit cold turkey.
Only a small number of smokers make an actual attempt to quit each year, so having a product that causes smokers to quit or cut down without that intent could be seen as better for overall public health. If cold turkey is a seat belt that someone may not use, e-cigarettes are air bags.
I agree. I know. I understand...
And I'm mad as hell, also!
That's the point... although you're not a low information voter - his target audience.
I googled "smoking kills 400000" and the first site that comes up is CFTFK:
Of course they deceptively do not qualify the word "tobacco" with "combustible." Nor do they imply anywhere that vaping is not included in this death toll.
"Smoking kills" - it's easy to understand. And in messaging, the simpler you keep it, the better.
We can argue that vaping improves the quality of life for dual users.
But I'd rather argue that vaping saves the lives of those who quit smoking tobacco cigarettes entirely, and will eventually all-but-eliminate tobacco cigarettes.
I can get behind smoking harms, but the other one would mean all us ex-smokers are actually dead. We might appear alive, but we can't possibly be, because, ahem, smoking kills.
Once a vaper or 2 (thousand) die, they'll be able to claim vaping kills. Won't that be nice?
To whatever degree vaping saves lives, I would argue it does the SAME THING for dual users. Perhaps not all, but the ones smoking a pack a week or less, and thus smoking in moderation... yeah I'd have that discussion.
Your view reads like we can just throw those silly dual users under the bus, and tout the vaping exclusive persons and somehow ANTZ leaning people will see our logic. I'm not saying that we ought to emphasize dual users (who are likely a minority), but am saying that dual users have likely accomplished most of the same benefits that a 'quitter' has achieved. This world really has no clue what a moderate smoker looks like. If they did, it would change almost everything that is currently 'known' about smoking.
I like the seat belt vs. air bags analogy, insofar as it helps explain harm reduction, and references the significance of volition.
Personally, I feel a tad uncomfortable telling people that vaping is for dual users.
I'd just as soon point to the fact that all these vapers have quit, without talking about their motives for beginning to vape in the first place.
To me, this looks too much like the ads which imply that vaping is for smokers who want to "evade" smoking bans. Or as the inimitable Sen. Kathy Sheran (Manteko, MN) put it in a rather unpleasant-to-watch Twin Cities PBS interview - to "practice their addiction in public." (Which, is a line she may have picked up either from Clearway MN or Legacy.) Mind you, I don't blame the cigAlike manufactuers for using this appeal, because they aren't even allowed to mention that vaping doesn't involve the use of combustible tobacco
But I feel as if that gives unnecessary ammo. to Gantz and the other ANTZ.
The longer someone has vaped, the more likely it is that they've quit. Now we have the population studies to show something like this in several European countries. Simple, easy to understand.
Speaking of cars - I want a bumper sticker that reads: Vapers are Quitters.