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Where can you check how many posts have been made? I could sworn there was a statistics page.
Never mind, found it. If you click on the ECF logo, and go almost all the way to the bottom of the page, you'll see the site statistics. As of two minutes ago, it was 9,758,419 posts.
Never mind, found it. If you click on the ECF logo, and go almost all the way to the bottom of the page, you'll see the site statistics. As of two minutes ago, it was 9,758,419 posts.
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We might not be as close as it seems (if I read the stats correctly). About 240,000 more posts. If spaky is right (and IF I read the data correctly), we had about 20,000 posts last month, and it seems in the last year, posts increased at an average rate of about 1000 more posts per month (than the previous month). At that rate, it would take approximately 9 months to reach ten million posts (accounting for the average rate of increase). Of course, e cigs are becoming more and more popular, so post in increase rate could rise. Still, even if we doubled the post rate, we're still looking at months here.
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your reading is off
jan 1, 2013 - 7,827,006 posts
may 3, 2013 - 8,981,004 posts
over a million posts in 4 months
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OK...
I got out the Curve-O-Matic 2000 and it Wouldn't turn on. Grrrrrrn It. The batteries were Dead.
So I did some Quick and Dirty Scatter Plots of the Post Counts in Excel. Here is what it looked like ...
http://farmerengineering.com/ECF/All_Posts.jpg
The first thing I Noticed, which was a Surprise, was how Linear the Plot Looked. I was Expecting kinda a 1/2 Smile type Plot. I slammed a Regression Line on the Data Points a Ga-Zing, Not a Bad Fit. "Check out the Big R^2 on that Line".
Some would say that a Regression Line with that High of an R would be Good Enough to do a Projection. But Check out the 2013 Portion of the Plot. I see a Little Wiggle on the Squiggle. And the Ratio of the Range to the Domain is Huge. I mean Ginormous.
So I threw out the 2012 Data and did a New Scatter Plot.
http://farmerengineering.com/ECF/2013_Posts.jpg
Much Better. But another Surprise. The Plot was Increasing (No Surprise) but at a Decreasing Rate (Big Surprise). Clearly this Plot needs a Higher Order Function to do a Projection, so I tacked a 2nd Order Poly on it and got another Outstanding R^2.
But the Poly looked Wacked because it was in Engineering Notation. And the Numbers Didn't make and Sense. It was those Damn Date Formates I used for My Domain. I couldn't figure out how to Edit or Reformat the Display. So I applied a 1/1000 Scalar to the Post Data and then Converted the Date Data to Julian Data Format. (Maybe it would have been Quicker to get Batteries for the Curve-O-Matic 2000?)
So solving the Pretty Poly for 10,000 (Ten Million) I got Two Solutions. 296 (Rounded off) and Six Hundred and something plus change. Obviously the 6xx result was on the Other Side of the Horizontal Tangency of the Curve. So let's Toss Him in the Bin.
So for the Data I got, the 296th Day of 2013 should be about when we Hit 10,000.000.
Give or Take 2 Years.
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Hmmmm Oct 23ish. My Birthday is the 21st. 
that would be a nice b-day present. Bwahahahaha
that would be a nice b-day present. BwahahahahaHmmmm Oct 23ish. My Birthday is the 21st.
Remember. My Projection is Based on the Data that I was Given.
And I could have Cooked the Numbers Slightly to Give me an Edge on the 10,000,000 Post Contest for that New BMW.
you better!
Someone please check his math! I'm horrible at math and numbers.
It's not that I'm an Evil Person. Or that I feel it is OK to Use Numbers to Deceive someone. It just that I Really Need a New Car Right Now. And have Always Liked BMW's.
I promise that If I Win the Beamer that I will Never Purposely Use an I'll Fitting Curve to Forecast a Trend or Future Event.
Like they are going to give a Beamer as a prize
Are they?
Nah, I'm not gonna let one leg get longer today. I need them to be perfectly matched for the dress I'm wearing tonight.
Are they?
Nah, I'm not gonna let one leg get longer today. I need them to be perfectly matched for the dress I'm wearing tonight.
Hmmmm Oct 23ish. My Birthday is the 21st.
I am predicting a September date........ the 24th to be exact. around 9:47 a.m. central standard time to be precise. that would be my birthday.
now THAT would be a present wooohoooo!!!!!
and really...... I don't think I can hold it much longer...... just saying
Like they are going to give a Beamer as a prize
Are they?
Nah, I'm not gonna let one leg get longer today. I need them to be perfectly matched for the dress I'm wearing tonight.
Oh No... (Wink, Wink). There not giving away a New Beamer.
That must have been on my Candle Making Forum.
Down the hall, second door on the right.
Sounds like just a Thinly Veiled Excuse to take a Stealth Hit to Me.
This place really is amazing and I wish I had found you all sooner. I will continue the legacy of all who have started here learned and moved on to help so many people. To have so much knowledge and info in one place all helping one person at a time.. simply epic.
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