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Sugar* is more-inherent in human nature than alcohol, in fact a lot of acoholics have some genes for hypoglycemia and may be partly going after the carbs. But if 1c would cause soft drinks to be universally eschewed, how come machines can sell them for more than stores charge?
(And, yes, I know it never stops there but the LEVEL of taxation some folks seem to be contemplating for e-cig stuff right off the bat is a whole different ball game.)
*Those of us living in urban or suburban society tend to be shocked if we read survival-oriented information and find out how HARD it is to acquire enough calories to keep one person alive for a year. Sugar and fat are GOOD, if you chase your food, or live under snow for 1/2 of each year, etc.
Yeah, I know. A sugar/carb/fat tax wouldn't significantly lower the consumption. That's kind of my point. Those would be good targets for a sin tax. Just as is the case with alcohol taxes, you can increase them all you want with no fear of killing the goose that laid the golden egg. The only real risk is creating a black market. Throughout history, humans have always sought certain things, and no amount of taxation or legal prohibition will change that. The drive for sex, food and to alter consciousness can never be taxed or regulated out of our DNA. (If you question the latter, consider the delight that even the smallest child takes in spinning around until he's dizzy)
As for the level of e-cig taxation we can expect, that depends on a couple things. First off is lobbying by BT. Almost 100% of the tax increase imposed on bulk tobacco back in 2009 was a direct result of lobbying by BT. The original proposal was to double the tax to about $3. By the time the lobbyists got done, it was over $23. That amount wasn't settled on to discourage smoking, or even just to increase revenue. It was BT's attempt to preserve market share by equalizing the costs of RYO and pre-rolled cigarettes as much as possible.
At least the RYO tax proponents could plausibly use the "health costs" excuse. They could also claim with a straight face that the increased tax was aimed at discouraging tobacco use. Regarding e-cigs, they can do neither. There are no health costs, either fiscal or physical, associated with
vaping for them to (disingenuously) claim they are trying to recoup or prevent. Also,
vaping, in and of itself, discourages tobacco use. So high e-cig taxes would be counter-productive in terms of public health. In a logical world, people would receive a tax credit or subsidy to switch from smoking to vaping.
Proponents of high e-cig taxes have been deprived of the standard rationales they normally use as political cover for obscene tobacco, and other, "sin" taxes. Suddenly, the only honest motivations behind an e-cig tax are laid bare. That is, to placate BP and BT, and to raise revenue. Some day, credible evidence may arise to show e-cigs are a health hazard, or encourage smoking among former non-smokers. Until that day, there can be no logical rationale for advocating high e-cig taxes. If questioned, all the tax proponents can do is blatantly and transparently lie through their teeth.