I'd like to be clear that it's "as far as CASAA says it
might."

We've never said "XYZ
will happen." We've always said "XYZ
could happen. Or WXY is even possible. Please be ready to act when we find out for certain."
CASAA has never claimed to know what is going to happen. Our only purpose is to make people aware of the possibilities, do everything we can to avoid the worst happening (testifying before the FDA, TPSAC and OMB), prepare to take action (submitting comments, going to the media) and hope for the best.
No one on this forum - not Bill, nor Tom, nor I - knows what was submitted to the OMB or what the FDA will finally release for public comment (unless they work for the FDA.) But we can tell you what the FDA
could legally do and I'm pretty darn certain that CASAA has that part correct.
Sorry, but I gotta disagree here. OP (Bill G) says
would. Not for the first time or only time. It says "would" and it says "ban ALL eCig products currently on the market."
That doesn't leave much room for could or might.
Then there is just the fact that Bill carries more weight in these threads than anyone else. Doesn't have to be that way, but it clearly is and I'm certain I could make this point abundantly clear if asked to do so. Plus, I actually thought Bill was head of CASAA until I learned otherwise about 5 weeks ago in one of these threads. That he's not would seem to take away, a little bit, from first sentence of this paragraph, but I stand by it.
And so if the message is deeming regulations will (or would) ban all eCig products currently on the market, that strikes me as a) very critical to our collective fight and/or b) possibly fear mongering. I see you and others who are passionate on these topics, when involved in these threads, able to back off of your rhetoric and engage in discourse that is reassuring and I feel helpful going forward.
Personally, I don't need to know Tom's credentials. I see his posts as his take on what could happen, and enough information from him to say he could possibly be mistaken. I'm curious about Tom's stake in this, and curious about how he seems so able to write with such authority, but I have equal curiosity on Bill's messages that seem to continue going unchecked and not called out. I get what Bill's credentials and experience are, and I respect that, but have a tough time respecting the message of "would ban all eCigs on the market" as if that is a certainty. Cause if it is, then we are wasting time with FDA stuff which is what Tom is saying, but coming at it from different angle than I'm saying right now. If deeming regulations would ban eCigs, then what possibly can vaping consumers do to stop FDA from that goal? Many of us have already written people in congress (several times) and yet the message is still 'deeming regulations would ban eCigs.' Thus the game is already over, if our top speaker, person with most credentials is conveying that understanding of what's surely coming soon.
IMO, the FDA is going to do whatever it is the FDA is going to do, but i don't see it as full ban of all eCig material currently on the market. I think that is possible, but unlikely. Yet even if that occurs, it would be impossible to enforce for (all) consumers and vendors are hip to what's going on and will fight it with much more at stake than consumers. We've hashed out these issues so much that I can't imagine any of us who have been paying attention would be in any sort of panic mode under a worst case scenario. FDA carries a lot of weight for sure, but they are simply not the only player in the game, and they clearly have opponents that will launch a defensive which is likely to do much more than simply hand entire eCig industry to BT. Furthermore, while 'black market' sounds all dark and mysterious, I think it is more likely to be similar to what we have now which isn't exactly an open market but closer to, or actually is, a grey market. Though admittedly a heavily regulated market is kinda scary compared to a gray market.
I also think Tobacco Act is way more the threat than FDA.
FDA is just the errand boy sent by grocery clerks to collect a bill.
