I agree. If an e-cig user fee is used to fight teen vaping with education and age verification- the methods used to cut teen smoking- then it certainly beats a flavor ban.
If e-cigarettes continue to be treated like tobacco, it is probably inevitable that some form of user fee and even a federal excise tax will come to pass. And although the budget document is vague, it seems likely that the proposed $100 million increase would spread across all the classes of tobacco. Its hard to estimate exactly what the vaping industry would be on the hook for in this case because the fee is based on excise taxes. But $20-25 million is my educated guess. Juul would be on the hook for 70+ percent of this based on their market share.
The schedule of tobacco user fees was drawn up in 2009, pre-ecig revolution, and only outlines the annual increases through 2019. I don't think it is partisan to suggest that the odds of e-cigarettes being left out off going forward and the user fee remaining at the current $712 million are slim to none. The fact that Trump's budget will be largely ignored by the House does not mean that the Dems will not make a similar proposal.
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