Dang it! I made a mistake in my trend analysis. Actually several.
I know, I know. "CK made a mistake? Yeah, so what else is new?"
I'm not going to hijack Deeo's thread here any further, though. I'm going to start a new thread once I get my new analysis written. ...and after I kick myself a few dozen times.
But twenty years ago, for instance, if the price of cigarettes increased ten-fold, the vast majority of smokers would have simply quit, trashing Big Tobacco in a Big Way.
If they screw up vaping too much, then many of us will stop vaping altogether, and the rest will circumvent the market by making their own juices and coils and any other maintenance components required. I.e., the ongoing items we may prefer to buy nowadays, we'll arrange to not have to buy in the future if pressed hard enough.
This doesn't mean that somewhere BT won't try the "make 'em want it so much that they'll give us anything in order to get it" strategy. But I honestly don't think it'll be at all viable for them to do so, especially over time.
I'm not going to hijack Deeo's thread here any further, though. I'm going to start a new thread once I get my new analysis written. ...and after I kick myself a few dozen times.
I don't believe any strategy that tries to corrupt and/or pollute the e-cig industry will be particularly successful, because vaping products aren't necessities. They're luxuries. If the cost of a necessity increased significantly, we would still have to acquire it, no matter what.There is something very cynical going on in the UK. tobacco companies are selling almost useless products, aimed at the dual fuel market. Not good enough to be a 100% alternative and loaded up with 45mg nicotine to increase nicotine addiction for the dual users.
Win, win. Those that try to go 100% e-cig will have to spend £20 a day and those that go back to smoking will smoke more than ever.
But twenty years ago, for instance, if the price of cigarettes increased ten-fold, the vast majority of smokers would have simply quit, trashing Big Tobacco in a Big Way.
If they screw up vaping too much, then many of us will stop vaping altogether, and the rest will circumvent the market by making their own juices and coils and any other maintenance components required. I.e., the ongoing items we may prefer to buy nowadays, we'll arrange to not have to buy in the future if pressed hard enough.
This doesn't mean that somewhere BT won't try the "make 'em want it so much that they'll give us anything in order to get it" strategy. But I honestly don't think it'll be at all viable for them to do so, especially over time.