The ANTZ claim over 1,200 non-smoking people a DAY become regular daily smokers and another 2,000 or so try smoking. That is in spite of all of the warnings. Are we really going to lie and pretend none of those people will try vaping instead - especially if we achieve our goal and prove that vaping carries very low health risks?
The argument that those who would otherwise not use nicotine when it was thought to be dangerous will now try or use it if they think it is relatively safe is a red herring argument the ANTZ have been using against tobacco harm reduction policies for years before e-cigs even came on the market. It would be a valid argument IF 1,200 people a day weren't still becoming smokers.
The ANTZ argue there will be a health "loss" if more people start using tobacco and nicotine products they believe are safer, even with the lives saved from smokers switching too. This claim simply isn't based in science. Dr. Phillips, who is a respected epidemiologist and CASAA's Science Director, has calculated that it would take hundreds, if not thousands, of people using these products regularly PER SMOKER switching to even come close to cancelling out the health GAIN.
To make an extremely simplified analogy, if e-cigs are 99% safer than smoking, say it would take 99 people who otherwise wouldn't have used e-cigs to equal the public health risks of one smoker. (Its actually many more than that - I cant recall the exact figure he calculated.) That would mean, for those new users to cancel out the health gain of one smoker quitting, 99 would have to start vaping. That is highly unlikely to happen. Maybe one or two more per smoker but not 99. On the national scale, with the ANTZ's theory, if every smoker switched to vaping, in excess of 425 million non-smokers would have to start vaping to create a "health loss". (There's only about 314 million men, women and children in the US.)
Rather than fearing that ANTZ lie being used against us, we should be telling the public the truth.
The clearest response to the ANTZ complaint that non-smokers will start vaping is, "You still have 1,200 people A DAY becoming regular smokers and you are worried that a few people MIGHT start using a smoke-free nicotine device? Seriously?"
