Deeming Regulations have been released!!!!

zoiDman

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Anything the FDA does during Trumps term, he's going to get the blame for. I guess what I was trying to say is if he wants them to appeal the lawsuit that moved up the deadline date, they'll try to do it.

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I guess some are going to Blame Trump even though He wasn't the one who Signed things into Law. Or who's 1st FDA Commissionaire did Extend the Deeming Dates.
 

zoiDman

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I don't see the FDA as having "pushed" for this. The APA et al sued with the claim that the FDA didn't follow proper procedures when they kicked the deadline from 2018 to 2022/2021. The court agreed and demanded proposed remedies from both sides. The APA et al asked for something absurd, like 30 days. The FDA asked for the maximum that they thought the court might accept, 10 months, and the court did accept it. I don't think it was ever the desire of this administration's FDA to pull the deadline forward, and entrenched bureaucracies do not take kindly to having their decisions challenged.

I had a Long Conversation with a Lawyer friend who deals in Regulatory Law after the APA lawsuit about doing an appeal of the Drop Dead Date.

Her position was that it would an Extremely Uphill Battle given that the FDA purposed the Date that the Court ruled with.

And that if the FDA wanted More time, and thought that they could Likely to get it on Appeal (Unlikely at best), that they would have been better to ask for a Pushed Out date and then have the court pull it back. Then Appeal that the lower court date was Unreasonable.

But that would be Dicey at Best. And that the FDA probably got More time then they could have on Appeal.

Her final word was... "They Asked for it. And they Got what they Asked for. And It's Hard to Appeal that."
 

Eskie

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Screw the effective date, just change the rules.

But it’s still unclear what the rules are. Yes, it’s been clarified a bit better in the last year, but not enough to insure a complete application can even be produced.
 

Rossum

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Screw the effective date, just change the rules.
I doubt that the the FDA can "change the rules" in any significant way at this point. There simply isn't sufficient time between now and May 11th to follow proper rule-making procedure, and the fact that they didn't follow proper procedure to extend the deadline was the basis for the APA suit. However there are two things they could do to soften the blow:

1) They could rubber-stamp "APPROVED" on any PMTAs for vapor products that are actually submitted.

2) They could be less than enthusiastic in their enforcement efforts, thereby making the remaining market for vapor products gray rather than black.

I don't have much hope for the former, but I think there's a good chance for the latter.
 
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markfm

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Unfortunately lax enforcement would still mean things legally can't be sold, so it would be a black market. Legitimate operators would close down or risk significant penalties.

Grey goods are legal, just non standard distribution channel. For instance if I buy a good camera from a Japan shop, I may not receive any US warranty support. Legal to buy, legal to import, but not the proper US distribution channel. This would be a grey market purchase.
 

Rossum

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Unfortunately lax enforcement would still mean things legally can't be sold, so it would be a black market. Legitimate operators would close down or risk significant penalties.
In that case every vape shop in the country has been engaged in a "black market" for the past three years. By early 2017, just about every one of them was carrying and openly selling products that were introduced to the US market after the 8/8/16 deadline. These products cannot be "legally sold", yet they are being sold openly, with sales and other taxes being collected and paid, and do on. If a situation similar to the what we've had for the past three years is what we'll continue to have after 5/11/20, I'll take it, and whether we call it "gray" or "black" one really doesn't matter much, does it?
 

englishmick

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I guess some are going to Blame Trump even though He wasn't the one who Signed things into Law. Or who's 1st FDA Commissionaire did Extend the Deeming Dates.

The FDA knew this was coming for years and they dragged their feet on creating a process for assessing applications because they knew they would get blamed whether they designed it to produce a total ban or not. The politicians wanted vaping to go away but they wanted the FDA to do the dirty work for them without giving them explicit instructions in public. Trump almost got involved but heard mixed signals from whoever he listens to so he dropped it like a hot potato. The politicians and bureaucrats are both happy to let the judges take the blame. The judges don't care about the real world consequences of their decisions because they are appointed for life. The corporations pass out bags of money and job offers behind closed doors. Campaign managers run focus groups and juggle numbers.

Politics as usual.
 

Eskie

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I doubt that the the FDA fan "change the rules" in any significant way at this point. There simply isn't sufficient time between now and May 11th to follow proper rule-making procedure, and the fact that they didn't follow proper procedure to extend the deadline was the basis for the APA suit. However there are two things they could do to soften the blow:

1) They could rubber-stamp "APPROVED" on any PMTAs for vapor products that are actually submitted.

2) They could be less than enthusiastic in their enforcement efforts, thereby making the remaining market for vapor products gray rather than black.

I don't have much hope for the former, but I think there's a good chance for the latter.

Actually, the best we can hope for, and is in place under the current court order moving things to Ma,y is for the FDA to rubber stamp all requests for extensions on producing a complete PMTA. They are supposed to give the waiver on a case by case basis, but if they're really fast with the stamping they could allow things to remain around far longer while the approval situation is sorted out.

It would also make sense for smaller manufacturers to then wait for any big boys who ante and file, then see what it took for an approval and whether an SE path is then a possibility.
 

WorksForMe

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WorksForMe

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Azim Chowdhury tweeted further information on their appeal of the May 2020 PMTA deadline, including a link to the actual motion.

Azim Chowdhury‏ @ECIGattorney 21h

Our Motion to Stay the PMTA deadline decision linked here. Keep in mind we were limited to 5200 words. NGO’s response due 12/31, and our reply to that on 1/7. Our opening brief (and FDA’s) for the appeal itself is due 1/14. 2020 is going to be busy. https://tinyurl.com/v3dwz3z


,
 

MacTechVpr

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Actually, the best we can hope for, and is in place under the current court order moving things to Ma,y is for the FDA to rubber stamp all requests for extensions on producing a complete PMTA. They are supposed to give the waiver on a case by case basis, but if they're really fast with the stamping they could allow things to remain around far longer while the approval situation is sorted out.

It would also make sense for smaller manufacturers to then wait for any big boys who ante and file, then see what it took for an approval and whether an SE path is then a possibility.

What we need (and deserve) is a permanent extension.

(in the face of this inequitable, ham-handed and impossible "process".)

Good luck. :)
 

AttyPops

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Yep. They're going after the cigs.

This is a viable method that should be available to current smokers, sure. The "danger" here is that eventually it will be the ONLY option.

On average, conventional cigarettes made in the U.S. contain tobacco with a nicotine content of 10 to 14 milligrams (mg) per cigarette. Cigarettes with reduced nicotine content, which at the low end may range from 0.4 to 7.4 mg per cigarette, have existed for decades, primarily for research use. Moonlight and Moonlight Menthol have nicotine content between 0.2 to 0.7 mg per cigarette. As part of the FDA’s scientific review, the agency considered whether smokers who switch to reduced nicotine cigarettes would either smoke more cigarettes or change the way they smoked, such as taking a bigger puff, in order to get the same level of nicotine they would have from smoking conventional cigarettes. Generally, the FDA determined that smokers of reduced nicotine cigarettes tend to actually decrease the number of cigarettes smoked per day and that they do not change the intensity of their puff or inhalation. In addition, though data is limited, the agency expects that non-smokers, including youth, are unlikely to start using the authorized products, and those that do experiment with the authorized products are unlikely to develop nicotine dependence.

I don't for second believe they'll smoke less. Unless they're dual-using NRT's or something.
 

zoiDman

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Yep. They're going after the cigs.

This is a viable method that should be available to current smokers, sure. The "danger" here is that eventually it will be the ONLY option.



I don't for second believe they'll smoke less. Unless they're dual-using NRT's or something.

I remember Years Ago reading an OP-Ed in the WSJ when Light Cigarettes was a Topic of Debate. The premise of it was that Light Cigarettes was exactly what BT/Governments needed.

Not because they posed a Significant Public Health Benefit. But because it was shown that Smokers, on Averaged, smoked more Light Cigarettes per day than Regular Cigarettes.

And since Governments received Taxes based on Packs not on mg's of Nicotine, that was a Win for State/Fed Tax Collectors. And Selling More Packs is a Win for BT no mater how you Slice It.
 

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