Since, after August, the FDA will have legally deemed e-juice to be a "tobacco product", it will fall under the requirements set forth in s.1129 Tobacco Tax and Enforcement Reform Act. Unless congress acts to specifically exclude it, e-juice "shall be taxed at a level of tax equivalent to the tax rate for cigarettes on an estimated per use basis as determined by the Secretary". For the purpose of estimating potential federal tobacco taxes required by the Tobacco Tax and Enforcement Reform Act, let's assume Europe's currently sought tax equivalency formula of "1ml of juice = 1 pack of cigarettes" was adopted by "the Secretary". The U.S. federal excise tax on a pack of cigarettes is currently $1.006, so the federal excise tax on a 30ml bottle of e-juice would be $30.18. That alone would be devestating, but it doesn't include -state taxes- which for cigarettes are, on average, much higher than the federal excise tax. The median or "average" state tax on cigarettes is currently $1.53 per pack (which doesn't include the hidden $0.45 per pack cost for state MSA payments). We also haven't included the cost of the juice itself which will -no doubt- rise to cover the vendor's expense for FDA application fees that the FDA currently estimates will cost >$400,000 "each". Compared to today's prices, 5 years down the road we could easily see the cost of premium e-juice tripling or quadrupling. We can only hope "the Secretary" chooses a more lenient tax equivalency formula but even then I expect juice prices will, at a minimum, nearly double.
Now let's try to estimate the potential federal excise tax for liquid nicotine based on the same proposed European equivalency formula, 1ml of e-juice = 1 pack of cigarettes. For this exercise let's be optimistic and set 18mg as the baseline nic strength. 1 liter (1000ml) of 100mg nic will make around 5555ml of e-juice at 18mg strength, therefore, for tax purposes, 1 liter of 100mg nic = 5555 packs of cigarettes. The current federal excise tax on a pack of cigarettes is $1.006, so the potential federal excise tax on 1 liter of 100mg nic would be $5588.33. That alone would be devastating but we still haven't addressed -state taxes- or the cost of the nic itself which -no doubt- will rise to cover FDA application fees the FDA currently estimates will cost >$400,000 "each". Could you imagine the cost of a liter exceeding $10K? lol Even if a more lenient tax equivalency formula were used, say 5ml of e-juice = 1 pack of cigarettes, 5 years down the road the cost for that liter of nic could still run in the "thousands". To be honest It wouldn't surprise me if many states eventually ban its sale to the general public. They'll claim it's for children's safety but we'll know the true reason....control/revenue.