Well, you tell me. Afaik the US customs have already demonstrated how effective they would be at stopping vapor products and that was almost 10 years ago, before AI scanning technology. Expect them to be much more effective now, especially if you take general focus on items from China into account.
Most of the "usual" illegal goods come via ship/cargo container, not through international mail hubs (I guess for that reason).
But all that is a whole different discussion from banning online sales from US based stores. The Chinese won't care, US online stores however will care very much and that's the whole point of it. Killing the modern day supply and kicking vaping back to an 80s business model, greatly reducing appeal and availability.
The majority of them doesn't get their stuff online anyways so I agree, that wouldn't have a tangible effect.If the FDA kills off on-line sales from US vendors, it will make things more inconvenient and expensive for for everyone, but I don't think it will make much of a dent in the"problem" of under-age vaping.
But with states having very different taxes on cigarettes I can see what the motivation for an online tobacco sales ban would be...
Vaping is officially a tobacco product so if there's an onine ban for tobacco there would be enough forces that want to extend that on vape gear.
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